Donald Trump: how likely is he to be re-elected. Watch

AdilShaydullin
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What do people think?
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Joleee
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so i listened to a podcast the other day (i think it was Freakenomics) that talked about how when people do something 'altruistic' like voting in a black president, they then feel they have a licence to do something bad, like voting in Trump. i.e. they did their good deed, they proved they're not racist, and now they can be their true selves (kinda like you ate healthy all week and now you have a cheat day).

long story short, yes i think Trump has an extremely good chance of getting re-elected. lol
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Gofre
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I think the upcoming midterms will be a big indicator. Democrats have been seeing a lot of electoral success in the past year, including a number of GOP strongholds that were previously thought of as untouchable. If the theorised "blue wave" hits and republicans get unseated en masse, potentially paving the way to a GOP minority government, I don't think Trump can rely on the full backing of the party when it comes to the primaries. They've shown that they can stomach the complete evacuation of morals, ethics and competency from Trump, as long as his cult of personality keeps bringing in the voters. What they can't abide is if he brings all that sh*t to the table while losing them their seats, their control of the government and the presidency itself, in the process.
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Chief Wiggum
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Doones
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(Original post by AdilShaydullin)
I'm aware that his approval ratings have plummeted after starting his term, since he hasn't really satisfied the populist voters with fulfilling any promises he made, and you don't have to be an economist to see how his economic policies are delusional. However, do you think he has any chance of being re-elected?
Actually his approval rating has improved since the start of this year.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...atings/voters/

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Mid terms will be very important.
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Ev4sive
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(Original post by Joleee)
so i listened to a podcast the other day (i think it was Freakenomics) that talked about how when people do something 'altruistic' like voting in a black president, they then feel they have a licence to do something bad, like voting in Trump. i.e. they did their good deed, they proved they're not racist, and now they can be their true selves (kinda like you ate healthy all week and now you have a cheat day).

long story short, yes i think Trump has an extremely good chance of getting re-elected. lol
errrrrrrrrrm

Although its a possible theory, I think the reason people voted for Obama is cause people thought he was gonna actually do stuff, not to make them look not racist.
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stoyfan
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It depends on how his presidency pans out.
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Joleee
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(Original post by Ev4sive)
errrrrrrrrrm

Although its a possible theory, I think the reason people voted for Obama is cause people thought he was gonna actually do stuff, not to make them look not racist.
i think it was a brilliant marketing campaign and the fact he is an excellent speaker. and the US was ready for a young, hip, black president.

note i did not say the US voted for Obama to not look racist; i said the US did their good deed which lead to Trump.
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ByEeek
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He is definitely marmite amongst voters in the US but amongst Republican voters he has something like an 87% approval rating. I am sure that all this tough talk on the world stage even though harming free trade and potentially world peace is going down a storm amongst those who back the America first principal.
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ohdearstudying
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(Original post by Joleee)
i think it was a brilliant marketing campaign and the fact he is an excellent speaker. and the US was ready for a young, hip, black president.

note i did not say the US voted for Obama to not look racist; i said the US did their good deed which lead to Trump.
I watch this tv show called black-ish and they talked about something like what you said in an episode. it was the white people that voted for obama in a bid to almost make up for their years of wrong-doing.

I wish it was Hillary, I really do. I had one of those signposts in my front garden
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Zaspo
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Only time will tell.
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Joleee
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(Original post by ohdearstudying)
I watch this tv show called black-ish and they talked about something like what you said in an episode. it was the white people that voted for obama in a bid to almost make up for their years of wrong-doing.

I wish it was Hillary, I really do. I had one of those signposts in my front garden
i love that show i just discovered it a week ago! lol i'll try to find the clip.
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ohdearstudying
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(Original post by Joleee)
i love that show i just discovered it a week ago! lol i'll try to find the clip.
it's amazing! omg the season 4 last episode is so sad though.

Ruby is so funny omg "Black Jesus" fsjnsfnfsjkfds

also, it's the one about when they react to the election results and he sees how they react at his work (Dre)
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Akamega
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The democrats don't have an answer from Trump yet. They don't provide a reasonable alternative that answers the concerns of, let's be honest here, white working-class and middle-class Americans. Minorities will continue to vote for the democrats, regardless of who wins the primaries. It really comes down to the appetite of white America. Personally, I find it very difficult to understand (and empathise with) Trump voters. To say he's racist and appealed to the dormant thirst of white supremacy in America is too easy. His economic protectionism won't fair well, and US is losing soft power, but the majority of Americans don't care about that anyway. So, I think he'll probably be re-elected; I think if democrats endorse someone like Bernie then it will be close/interesting, but the big donors won't let that happen.
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Rakas21
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While i think it's possible that the Democrats may take the House right now i lean 60-40 towards Trump winning a second term purely because most of the blue wave thinking to date seems to be protest vote. The Democrats appear to have no answer to Trump's views on economics and identity politics and if anything have doubled down on the later.

It's not good enough to say what you dislike about his approach, you need to present an alternative that is not the status-quo of 2 years ago.
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AngeryPenguin
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(Original post by ohdearstudying)
I wish it was Hillary, I really do. I had one of those signposts in my front garden
I have a Sanders tattoo fight me
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ohdearstudying
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(Original post by AngeryPenguin)
I have a Sanders tattoo fight me
that is cute

some of his thoughts are good, but he's too similar to Jeremy Corbyn, meaning he would have done worse than Hillary.

She was a strong candidate and the popular vote showed that.

i think she may run again, they have no one else lmaooo
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Ev4sive
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(Original post by ohdearstudying)
that is cute

some of his thoughts are good, but he's too similar to Jeremy Corbyn, meaning he would have done worse than Hillary.

She was a strong candidate and the popular vote showed that.

i think she may run again, they have no one else lmaooo
hillary a strong candidate? if it were anyone other than hillary, then the democrats wud be in power.
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FarhanHalim
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Lmao Americans will probably vote for him as long as they can- their education system isn't exactly the best
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Drewski
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There's no significant personality on the democrat side, nobody who can really take him on.

If he's not targeted by other republicans, then it's fairly likely at this point.
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