Odds on a second EU referendum are now 7/5!!

A general election has only come back on the agenda because the Conservatives have had a whisker of a lead in September. No-one was considering the possibility of an election in August. Another referendum allows the Conservatives to roll the dice without the risk of losing power.

Tories have led most months since March largely due to the fact that May developed a double digit preferred PM lead over Corbyn.

While i see your logic your coming from the wrong angle. Bar 30 MP's all Tory MP's have accepted Brexit, the choice is simply a moderate deal or something close to no deal with about 200 MP's backing May's moderate deal as the plurality.

With no Tory support to overturn Brexit the only vote we get will be to ratify and they won't risk remain heading on the ballot paper. Hence they either hope the erg will cave or go for election, there's simply no imputus for a second referendum from the Tory side.

Odds of a second referendum (Before the end of 2020) are now at 7/5, they've gone up a lot in the last year or so since this thread started.
Probably because the options for a successful Brexit become more varied and more idiotic with each passing day.

What are the odds of one not happening

Currently 1/100 on according to oddschecker, and anyone that takes 7/5 for one is a mug.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/brexit/2nd-eu-referendum

Currently 1/100 on according to oddschecker, and anyone that takes 7/5 for one is a mug.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/brexit/2nd-eu-referendum

What are the odds of one not happening

1/2 before the end of 2020.

Not before the end of 2020 it isn't, check out the link I posted.

Odds of a second referendum (Before the end of 2020) are now at 7/5, they've gone up a lot in the last year or so since this thread started.
Probably because the options for a successful Brexit become more varied and more idiotic with each passing day.

That’s “before 2020” instead of “before the end of 2020”. If there is a second referendum then it’s very unlikely to be this year. The above poster’s odds are valid and you can see them in the link you shared.

I suppose this reflects the betting market view, but I think they are really bad odds. I don't think there's much chance of a second referendum, because the people who really matter in both Labour (the hard core leftwing surrounding Jeremy Corbyn - we can safely ignore Starmer, he has no final influence) and the Tories are against it. It's far more likely there will be a general election and a clear Boris majority.

I have to agree with this, I think the odds are coming in because there's been a gamble on a referendum being attached to the Withdrawal Bill.

Yes, there are probably other misread factors, like the size of the demo on Saturday and Keir Starmer's attempts to get Ref 2.0 back in today - the average punter won't get the subtleties of Starmer's weak position in the Labour heirarchy.

Even if its voted for in a general election?

Are the British public ever allowed to change their minds?

While I want all of this nonsense to stop with Brexit, I'm fully supportive of the Lib Dems just revoking Article 50 rather than a referendum. The issue with a second referendum is that you'll have the idiots who will change their opinion to 'respect the first vote' like most of the cowards in parliament did, instead of sticking to what they believe in. I do fear that the Remain vote would struggle because of this.