(Original post by jameswhughes)
Why would there be customs checks in France? There's no reason why the UK government would suddenly make imports more difficult, especially if it was likely to cause widespread disruption.
Customs checks in France on goods etc from UK would possibly mean French ports etc running out of space to stack vehicles from the UK, if ferries from UK cannot be unloaded they cannot be reloaded to return, there are a limited number of ro ro berths and a finite number of ferries. What the French authorities appear to be preparing, but will likely not have in place in time in any meaningful way, is possibly holding areas where vehicles from the UK can get off the ferries to empty them so vehicles from the EU can board, for the return
The catch is if drivers (who travel with their vehicles) are tied up in the customes clearance holding positions in say France cannot get on with their journeys then they can make far fewer journeys, fewer return trips mean lower exports and imports.
One solution may be to restrict vehicles with goods leaving UK and giving priority to empty vehicles returning to the EU, a permit system,but this is not very satisfactory though could be the short term solution- in effect you would need a special permit to take goods from UK to EU until systems, and very enlarged port facilities (where possible- there is possibly not enough unused land adjacent to say French ports to in the short term- provide a workable solution) in place.
The sheer volume of current vehicle crossings is the issue, JIT supplies into the UK being delayed would cause severe issues to Uk industry, some fresh produce to say supermarkets devalues by the hour so the supply chain becomes disrupted, I would also suggest that the development of JIT over the years has substantially reduced the warehousing space available within the UK to stockpile components etc re manufacturing.
Of course if the UK also imposes checks on goods from the EU the same issues arise at this end.
Have a read of say this article from Richard North which covers the point :-
Last edited by DJKL; 4 weeks ago