If no deal really is so economically bad . . . Watch
. . . that we legislate against it happening, why wasn't it done before the referendum instead of waiting until over 3 years after?
It is what happened with Saddam over weapons of mass destruction. Blair and Bush believed he was lying when he said he had none. But so did his supporters in Iraq. They thought he would exact terrible revenge with such weapons on the allies.
This is what happened with Brexit. Cameron said that no preparations had been made for Brexit. No-one believed him; not Boris, not Farage, not the leaders of the Remain campaign. Everyone knew that he had to say that there were no plans because he wasn’t contemplating the possibility of losing. Everyone thought that somewhere in the Civil Service a secret unit had been putting together a Brexit plan and agreeing it with Brussels which would emerge like magic if Leave won.
That is why no-one thought about what Leave meant. When the plan emerged, people could argue about its fine detail, but how we were going to Leave was written in a document that already existed.
However, Cameron wasn’t lying. There was no plan, so people with very different political outlook have been arguing about what should be written on a blank piece of paper.
There were a very small group of right-wing Leavers who wanted No Deal from the outset because they wished to essentially destroy and rebuild the British economy.
All the other people who now support No Deal have really come to that point through May’s negotiating tactics. All possible deals other than her deal were taken off the table in ways that nobody can be seen to put them back on the table. In reality her red lines weren’t red lines at all. They were bargaining chips but by forcing Leavers to accept them as red lines, they had nothing to negotiate with apart from her deal and threatening to walk away.
Walking away is economically impossible. Boris knows that. Every insider who sees the real information knows that. That is why Boris is trying for a deal. If he really wanted No Deal, why a pretence of getting a deal? Why not campaign, as the outsider Farage is doing, for No Deal. The problem is Boris is a gambler. He is backing himself to get a deal, if he can get a public mandate. He thinks Brussels will cave in. Other people don’t think he is right. If he gets it wrong, he probably has to leave with No Deal in the same way Chamberlain had to go to war.
Boris has a lot of history of getting it wrong. Boris didn’t want to win the referendum. He wanted to lose having put up a good fight that made him Cameron’s obvious successor rather than May or Osborne.
So that is where we now are.
If they had, we would have left the EU by now.