What happens if I get no offers medicine

Okay thank you but the thing is I'd rather not take a gap year as then as I feel like I do have decent predicted grades/ GCSEs and UCAT so far to go to uni this year it's just I'm worried about applying to places that are difficult to get into and getting no offers

Okay thank you but the thing is I'd rather not take a gap year as then as I feel like I do have decent predicted grades/ GCSEs and UCAT so far to go to uni this year it's just I'm worried about applying to places that are difficult to get into and getting no offers

Even if you don't get any offers that's fine because you can take a gap year and re-apply. This is absolutely fine and not something to get anxious about.

There aren't any easy choices or guaranteed outcomes when it comes to getting into medicine I'm afraid.

Ik ik but there must be places that I'm more likely to get an interview right?

Okay thank you but surely the UEA is easier to get into than Cambridge

I want to apply for Cambridge, UCL, kings and Nottingham but UCL, kings and Cambridge are all quite competitive so what is the likelihood of no offers and then getting into medicine via clearing in the summer?

Stats btw:
A level predictions A*A*A* bio chem maths
GCSEs 999998877A*
A in AS physics
UCAT - 2860 B2 (93rd percentile)
BMAT - not done yet
Work exp - 2 weeks at 2 hospitals + care home

Cambridge has about a 20% chance of gaining a place (they interview a lot of their applicants, but reject many at the interview stage)
UCL has a 60-70% interview to offer ratio in recent years, but this year say they are interviewing up to 950 applicants and for 2018 entry was only 689, so that ratio may drop this year
Your problem with both of these, is that without your BMAT, you cannot assess your likelihood of getting an interview

Kings have and interview to offer rate of around 80% and you have an excellent chance of an interview there (so not that competitive, really, once you get to interview, stop believing all this hype and find out the facts!)
Nottingham had about a 77% interview to offer ratio last year, but you do not state your Nottingham score to know chances of getting an interview, plus this is going to be difficult to assess this year, as it is the first year they are selecting with a second stage of PS scoring. 48 should definitely be safe, 47 adn 46 most likely will be.

Is this the type of info you are looking for?
Other places with high interview to offer ratios are Sheffield (around 80%). You have an excellent chance of an interview here
St Andrews up to 88% and again, excellent chance of an interview
Birmingham and Leicester, around 70%

This info is all out there, if you look - I have just trawled a few FOIs, so get Googling and see what you come up with!

As stated, likelihood of an offer in clearing is small, less than 10%, I'd have thought, as you still have to meet entry criteria, get through on the phone, go through an interview, etc and there are hundreds of other people doing just the same, often to multiple med schools

Thank you so much, the most helpful post I've read on here
One more thing though, you said Nottingham are selecting with a second stage of PS scoring, what do you mean by this? PS as in personal statement or point system?
Oh and also my Nottingham score is 49 I believe

Last year Nottingham scored GCSEs and UCAT as they do this year and those with a score above 46 went on to have their personal statements scored, with the score from this being added to the first part of the assessment and the joing total being used to rank people for interview, ie more people were rejected who had scored 46 (or above) after PS score was added. This year they are not scoring PS, so may need to cut more people out at the single stage of assessment, hence leading to a higher cut off. 49 will be safe, I think.

So how has this affected your decision making?

I applied to UCL, Kings, Nottingham and Birmingham although ngl I am feeling pretty down about it which is annoying as I feel like I should've applied to Cambridge as that's always been somewhere I thought I've wanted to go - I guess it would've been risky but yeah.
I'm trying to stop thinking about it but it has been really bothering me the past 2 days since I applied, I tried to ask if I could change if the school hadn't sent my application yesterday but they had so that's a shame (I wanted to change Birmingham to Cambridge).
I'm just telling myself that these are safer choices and UCL would still be amazing.
(Also feel like I should've applied to UEA as it is my local uni and my parents really wanted me to go there which again is making me feel worse about the whole situation like I feel like I've messed up my choices even though they're not that bad)

Thanks for all the help though, really appreciate it, and okay that's reassuring about Nottingham.