Super Saturday - Brexit Decision Day! (or is it?) Watch
That vote will be close - at the moment, the numbers look a little against it passing, but the situation is fluid.
There are some key groups who can tip it one way or the other:
The DUP - currently opposed.
Labour MPs representing Leave seats - some may support Boris.
Tory MPs kicked off the party recently - they may go for it, but some are not going to.
The official SNP, Labour, LibDem, Plaid and Green parties are all voting against. Officially at any rate.
There's an ammendment laid down by Conservative MP Oliver Letwin which basically calls for another delay until it is clear what the negotiating position of Boris's government would be regarding ongoing free trade with the EU after 2020 - this should be made clear in the upcoming legislation after this vote on the Protocol. So basically this means waiting to see what will be in the legislation before agreeing to the Protocol - a delay of perhaps some weeks.
At the moment, this ammendment is likely to pass. But we don't yet know that it will be accepted.
Watch this space - plenty of involving politics today for the junkies, but also a lot of interest in today's votes from people just wanting the Brexit process to come to a conclusion.
The action starts at 9.30am.
Key votes will probably be late afternoon and early evening today.
Watch this space!
Promises to be one of the most engaging days in parliamentary history. It will be incredibly interesting to see what happens with Letwin’s amendment, and of course the main deal itself.
Journalists and whips will be watching some MPs like hawks, trying to discern which way they will go. High on the radar lists are people like Steve Baker, the leader of the ERG gang inside the Tory Party, who (if he supports this) will probably bring with him quite a few previously disruptive no-voters on deals from his grouping and Caroline Flint, the leading Leaver on the Labour side. She has yet to say if she supports the new Protocol.
ERG supporting the bill..
Goverment refusing to rule out pulling the vote if the letwin amendment passes..
The letwin amendment is an interesting one. It gives boris his deal, but also humiliates him into asking for an extension, and loosing his ability to say 'look, I told you we would leave on the 31st no matter what!
I think its a clever thing for labour to back to be honest.. it sets them up nicely for the next election. Boris sorts out the deal, meaning brexit is not the biggest issue in the next election (good for labour, as their position on brexit goes down awfully with the public), and it removes boris' ability to boast about getting it done, and not asking for an extension.. it makes boris look awfully weak infront of his leaver-base.
Are the DUP British or Irish?
This morning in the Commons, the Prime Minister will attempt to sell Ulster Unionism down the river.
At 11:15 in Tokyo Ulsterman Rory Best will lead out the Ireland rugby team in the World Cup quarter final against New Zealand.
Will the DUP be in their Commons seats or gathered round a TV?
Johnson on his feet.
Met police say the rally already looks set to be one of the largest ever held in London.
Its not the most passionate or inspiring speech, but compraed to may anytihng looks authoritative.
Sure once we are out of the UK, a party (like the conservatives) could errode them... but equally another party (as Labour presumably wants to) could actually take them further and have more fredom than they currently do, to do even better than what is currently regultated by the EU.
this specific critisim, strikes of a party that isn't confident in its ability to win an election.. if Labour are confident in winning the next election, then more freedom to set our own domestic policy in various areas is a good thing for them.