Is the UCAS offer rate calculator accurate?

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user377363
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I want to apply for biomedical science at Imperial but have predicted grades A*AA, the calculator told me I only have a 38% chance. On the uni website is says that typical offers made to 80% of applicants are AAA. I’m just confused!
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username4247768
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yeah but it considers how many people are applying. Even though you have good grades it could be a competitive course and a lot of people could have the same grades as you
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user377363
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(Original post by Amelia 123)
yeah but it considers how many people are applying. Even though you have good grades it could be a competitive course and a lot of people could have the same grades as you
So is it beneficial to have higher predicted grades then like A*A*A even though the entry requirements are lower?
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username4247768
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(Original post by user377363)
So is it beneficial to have higher predicted grades then like A*A*A even though the entry requirements are lower?
It depends. check how unis score your application. I would email imperial admissions because their website doesn't make it super clear. But some unis consider grades that are higher than entry requirements favourable whereas other unis don't even check as long as you've met the minimum requirements
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bluemuffin
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not always- some unis will make you a higher offer because of your relatively higher predicted grades eg I got an A*AA offer from a uni whose entry requirements were AAA-ABB and I’m convinced it’s because of my predicted grades
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JGoosey2002
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I think you’ve misunderstood what it’s telling you. Basically there’s a 38% you will get an offer and then if you get an offer, there’s an 80% chance it will be AAA. Atleast that’s what I think it means
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swanseajack1
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AAA would be very low for Imperial. I would have thought their entry requirements for most subjects would be A*AA often higher.
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PQ
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The offer rate calculator is accurate but it isn’t a predictive tool. It is based on historical applications from people with the same A level subjects and predictions as you. It makes no adjustment for whether you’re from a deprived school/background, whether your PS is well targeted to your degree (a lot of biomed applications are used as a 5 choice for medicine applicants - that might not be welcomed by imperial) or your GCSEs or other qualifications.
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