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Likelihood of a new political party rising too power? watch

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    How likely do you think a new political party could rise too power, and when?
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    By the time it's too late.
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    Not going to happen. There isn't enough interest in politics in the general public to create something new and catapult it into the great offices of state when they can live life so-so by alternately voting for the other guy every few years.
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    It'd be nice But I don't think it's likely?
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    (Original post by foundintransmission)
    It'd be nice But I don't think it's likely?
    I would have thought it would be nice only if you agreed with them...
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    Unlikely.

    But I bet our early 20th century friends thought the same about the Liberals and the Conservatives.
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    (Original post by numb3rb0y)
    Not going to happen. There isn't enough interest in politics in the general public to create something new and catapult it into the great offices of state when they can live life so-so by alternately voting for the other guy every few years.
    You may well be right. When Labour overtook the Liberals, it was a time when there were Labour and Liberal clubs in most towns, people felt passionate about their politics, and parties had a huge membership.

    My nearest Liberal Club is now a library.
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    (Original post by Bagration)
    I would have thought it would be nice only if you agreed with them...
    Well, yeah, but I'd like to think a new party would be a bit different from the ones now. *shrugs*
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    "to power" not "too power".

    I think it's unlikely...
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    P(x)=1 x 10 ^(-999999)

    However, if you would vote for me how about I start one? :P
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    The issues that would deserve a political party that could rise quickly through the public's opinion polls, already have parties that cover them - like, BNP, UKIP, Green Party etc.

    The likelihood of one of those coming into power is unlikely as racism, environmental and independence disputes are not high on the agenda at this (or any forseeable time). If I were to create a party that followed my ideology (what a strange word to use) it would probably be centre-right or follow neo-Thatcherism, as well as understanding the fundamentals of reductionism.
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    To power? That's too far-fetched to really contemplate, unless you're speaking in terms of the next cenury or two.

    To prominence? Well now, that's a for more interesting question and one that is - I believe - properly worthy of discussion.
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    depends how you define power. In a minority government a small party could get a lot of power by being able to have the deciding vote in the house of commons.
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    People generally choose between right and left, most national politic scenes reflect that with dominant parties on both sides and a few much much smaller parties, theres very little chance of new parties emerging that will challenge the established large parties without some kind of strong internal shock within the country, generally war or very bad economic recession, this is the kind of thing that lead to the Nazis and Communist Russia, in a stable nation the major parties of the left and right cover enough opinions to ensure that no new parties emerge.

    The labour party surpassing the Liberal party in the UK, was class politics, the working class got the vote and their kind of left wing politics was much further left than the middle class leftism of the Liberals, very socialist as opposed to the left-center of Liberalism, thats what created the Labour party and surpassed the Liberal party with the sheer weight of the working class vote. The Liberal party tried to reposition itself into the center in the 90's and early 00's to regain some support, only for initially Tony Blair to move Labour into the center-left and take back those votes, and then David Cameron moving the Conservatives into the center right to kill off the rest of the newfound Liberal support, leaving the Liberals once again with just their core middle class support and small vote share.

    New parties don't arise because there is simply nothing new they can say, and anything that occurs such as the rise of 'green' politics is quickly taken up by the dominant parties, thus depriving any single issue parties of any prominance aside from those extreme parties such as the BNP and UKIP whose headline making skills far surpass their actual importance in the political scene of the nation.
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    Not likely at all, what with the first-past-the-post system, and the apathy, cynicism, and lack of interest towards politics displayed by many people.
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    (Original post by Danules)
    How likely do you think a new political party could rise too power, and when?
    Unlikely, unless it was a separatist faction from either Labour or the Conservatives, and even then it would probably only be through an alliance. A more successful SDLP or something of that nature.
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    Depends on the circumstances. A charismatic leadership, good campaigning, the collapse of a major party, and convincing argument could probably get a new party to third place. Much more likely though, the Lib Dems could make a comeback.
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    Not in my lifetime.
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    (Original post by Liquidus Zeromus)
    Much more likely though, the Lib Dems could make a comeback.
    Not based on their recent performances in Glenrothes and Henley.
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    (Original post by #1Genius)
    Not based on their recent performances in Glenrothes and Henley.
    More of a likelihood than a new political party rising to the top three, no?
 
 
 
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