When will the next General election be ?

When do you think the next General Election will be held. The PM was saying in the autumn? Personally I think it comes down to the local elections in May if as is rumoured the conservatives so badly I think we’ll see one called for June in a last grasp to try and hold on to power and stay as PM.

Reply 1

Gazpacho.

Probably autumn.

I don’t see what the Conservatives gain from holding on until then. It doesn’t take much political acumen to see they are only digging a deeper hole for themselves.

While there is lots of discontent among the party towards Sunak. I’m somewhat sceptical to think they’ll go for a leadership change before the next election simply because whoever takes the helm is going to lead the party to an election humiliation.

Reply 2

mike44

Original post by Gazpacho.

Probably autumn.
I don’t see what the Conservatives gain from holding on until then. It doesn’t take much political acumen to see they are only digging a deeper hole for themselves.
While there is lots of discontent among the party towards Sunak. I’m somewhat sceptical to think they’ll go for a leadership change before the next election simply because whoever takes the helm is going to lead the party to an election humiliation.

What they potentially gain is more seats as it gives them longer to repair a bit of the massive damage they have done. A bit like a dying patient clings to life for as long as possible!

Reply 3

artful_lounger

Universities Forum Helper

Original post by mike44

What they potentially gain is more seats as it gives them longer to repair a bit of the massive damage they have done. A bit like a dying patient clings to life for as long as possible!

At what point in the last 14 years did the Conservative party give you the impression they had any interest in repairing any damage done by themselves?

Reply 4

Gazpacho.

Original post by mike44

What they potentially gain is more seats as it gives them longer to repair a bit of the massive damage they have done. A bit like a dying patient clings to life for as long as possible!

It really is wishful thinking to believe that the government is going to develop a sensible economic policy, a sensible fiscal policy, a sensible housing policy, a sensible immigration policy, a sensible illegal immigration policy, a sensible public sector reform policy, etc. when they've failed to do this for the last 14 years.

We can see in the polling more moderate/swing voters abandoning the Conservatives for Labour towards the end of Johnson's time in office, which is why the Conservatives ditched him. However the Conservatives have continued to dig a deeper hole for themselves as more recently those with hard right views are abandoning the party in favour of Reform because they aren't demonising minority groups enough. The polling is getting worse, not better and they are now looking at a worse electoral defeat than they experienced in 1997.

Unless they are expecting Starmer to get hit by lightning and Corbyn to make a comeback, they have nothing to gain by holding out.

Reply 5

Rakas21

I personally think that it should be Sep 19th or Oct 24th but the rumour is Nov 14th.

There's a bit more logic to going for November or December (perhaps the 12th again) because you can do half a fiscal year, gain some money and try more immediate tax cuts.

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