Too risky uni choices?

Are these choices too risky based on my profile to apply for a joint History & Politics Degree?
9976555 & Distinction
A*AA
Contextual Applicant for quite a few bits of the quota.
Kcl - Hist & Pol Economy AAA
Warwick - HisPol AAA
York - HisPol AAA
Leeds - HisPol AAA
Nottingham - HisPol AAA
Just a little concerned by 6 in GCSE history will hinder me, despite taking them in 2022, having no history teacher (being taught by an english teacher), getting an A in the A-Level mocks and having bad mental health during GCSE’s.

Are these choices too risky based on my profile to apply for a joint History & Politics Degree?

9976555 & Distinction
A*AA
Contextual Applicant for quite a few bits of the quota.

Kcl - Hist & Pol Economy AAA
Warwick - HisPol AAA
York - HisPol AAA
Leeds - HisPol AAA
Nottingham - HisPol AAA

Just a little concerned by 6 in GCSE history will hinder me, despite taking them in 2022, having no history teacher (being taught by an english teacher), getting an A in the A-Level mocks and having bad mental health during GCSE’s.

Are these choices too risky based on my profile to apply for a joint History & Politics Degree?
9976555 & Distinction
A*AA
Contextual Applicant for quite a few bits of the quota.
Kcl - Hist & Pol Economy AAA
Warwick - HisPol AAA
York - HisPol AAA
Leeds - HisPol AAA
Nottingham - HisPol AAA
Just a little concerned by 6 in GCSE history will hinder me, despite taking them in 2022, having no history teacher (being taught by an english teacher), getting an A in the A-Level mocks and having bad mental health during GCSE’s.

Presumably the contextual offers vary between the 5?

If you desperate to go to all five then your choice is right BUT if you could knock one off and replace it with an actual insurance you’d be happy going to. If there are no insurance Uni with lower grades you would honestly go to on results day if you missed your offers THEN it’s not risky. You may need to go into clearing, take a gap year or hopefully go to one of these five.

Without knowing the contextual offer grades, its a bit hard to judge what range of offers this includes.
Also - what are your predicted grades?
The usual advice is that your 5 choices should look something like this :
1or 2 just above your predicted grades - 1 grade and not in a vital subject
2 or 3 at your predicted grades - these are are your most likely offers
at last 1 choice that is well below your predicted grades as your potential Insurance choice
Go to as many Open Days as you can before you make your final choices - look around, listen to subject presentations carefully (courses in the same are not all the same), and ask questions. Be prepared to change you mind about a Uni/course that just 'doesnt feel right'.

Presumably the contextual offers vary between the 5?

The reality is that History isnt paricularly competitive and I doubt these courses will be. It is not like Economics or Computer studies which tend to be over subscribed in top universities at the moment.
The likelyhood is you will get offers if you meet the entry requirements. Nobody can say for definite but that is the likely scenario. For that reason these are probably not too risky but having at least 1 offering lower grades as an insurance is always sensible.

Hi, sorry I should have included it on the OP, but some of the choices are eligible for ABB, this is primarily a concern about the GCSE’s!

Hi, sorry I should have included it on the OP, but some of the choices are eligible for ABB, this is primarily a concern about the GCSE’s!

For some degree subjects / some Unis there will be specific GCSE grade requirements - typically Maths and/or English - and these are definite requirements, not 'nice to have'. Some top Unis will also look at your 'academic profile' - something like your top 5 GCSE grades etc - as an indication of your overall ability.
Unless its stated that they do want a specific grade in History etc then they wont care - they will be far more interested in your A level subjects/predications.

In that case you I am certain that you will receive multiple offers. You could ask your referee to mention your GCSE history teaching issues.

Would you be happy with a single offer from any of those 5?
Do you have any thoughts on what you would do if you got BBB on results day (or ABC)

Hi, yes I think that is the plan anyway! Do you know wether Warwick, KCL and York are particularly competitive for the courses stated?

The KCL situation is interesting. They often use history as an alternative offer for applicants they reject for oversubscribed courses as as war studies or IR. I'm not sure what impact taking political economy jointly will have on that. You might end up with a straight history offer, for example.
Note that Warwick are revamping their course for 2025. Keep an eye on that, particularly if you're interested in the term studying in Venice.