For my year (2021 intake) I feel more offers were given for the current year being applied for but a lot less of the on hold offers got moved to being the current year. Since this seems to have changed, and in more recent cycles it seems there is a lot more on hold offers but then quite a large proportion have been transferred to current year. I don't think anyone can tell if this trend will continue, particularly as they've changed their entire application process this year, but I'd say there is hope. But personally if you are really keen on Liverpool in comparison to other offers, I'd go for the gap year. It is a mega intense course no matter where you go, so a break before + opportunities to either enjoy yourself or save some money should not be taken for granted. Because of Liverpool giving the offers how they do, you will not be alone at all not coming straight from A Levels. I took a gap year that was unplanned because I didn't get offers the first time around (then when I reapplied I got a straight 2021 offer) but it was a blessing in disguise, the character development was great.