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Lancaster university

What is the chance Lancaster will drop 1 or 2 grades, especially with numbers likely to be at a all time low
Original post by LeoHockey123!
What is the chance Lancaster will drop 1 or 2 grades, especially with numbers likely to be at a all time low

If, once Lancaster have confirmed the place of all their firm offer-holders who have met their offer grades (and insurance offer-holders who were not accepted by their firm, but have met their Lancaster offer), there are any places left on the course in question - then they will very likely make offers to their best "near miss" offer-holders. In order to fill the course, they may not have to confirm the place of all candidates who missed their offer by a single grade (and so may select the "best" of those). Similarly for those who missed their offer by two grades.

It's a numbers game, and nobody knows what those numbers will be until results day.

Also, what do you mean by "with numbers likely to be at a all time low"? Are you saying that applications are likely to be at an all time low for universities generally, for Lancaster specifically, for your particular course specifically, for your particular course at Lancaster specifically, or something else? Why are "numbers likely to be at a all time low"?

Reply 2

Original post by DataVenia
If, once Lancaster have confirmed the place of all their firm offer-holders who have met their offer grades (and insurance offer-holders who were not accepted by their firm, but have met their Lancaster offer), there are any places left on the course in question - then they will very likely make offers to their best "near miss" offer-holders. In order to fill the course, they may not have to confirm the place of all candidates who missed their offer by a single grade (and so may select the "best" of those). Similarly for those who missed their offer by two grades.
It's a numbers game, and nobody knows what those numbers will be until results day.
Also, what do you mean by "with numbers likely to be at a all time low"? Are you saying that applications are likely to be at an all time low for universities generally, for Lancaster specifically, for your particular course specifically, for your particular course at Lancaster specifically, or something else? Why are "numbers likely to be at a all time low"?

Due to Tories destroying the system or for international students, also what I have heard from head of Leeds administrations and from loads of other places. Also because I am doing a social science they are likely to let more in due to there being less equipment

Reply 3

Original post by LeoHockey123!
Due to Tories destroying the system or for international students, also what I have heard from head of Leeds administrations and from loads of other places. Also because I am doing a social science they are likely to let more in due to there being less equipment

Please see the answer I have given you on another thread where you have asked the same question.

Reply 4

Original post by McGinger
Please see the answer I have given you on another thread where you have asked the same question.

I did this before I apologise

Reply 5

Original post by McGinger
Please see the answer I have given you on another thread where you have asked the same question.

You have come on to this thread I am just getting more than one perspective on it
Original post by LeoHockey123!
Due to Tories destroying the system or for international students, also what I have heard from head of Leeds administrations and from loads of other places. Also because I am doing a social science they are likely to let more in due to there being less equipment

From https://www.ucas.com/undergraduate-statistics-and-reports/ucas-undergraduate-releases/applicant-releases-2024-cycle/2024-cycle-applicant-figures-31-january-deadline, it appears that the number of international applications (EU and non-EU) was slightly up on last year - as of the January equal consideration deadline:
UCAS - January deadline analysis 2024 - International.JPG

However, the number of UK applicants is slightly down on last year:
UCAS - January deadline analysis 2024 - UK.JPG

(I suspect that the number of UK applicants in 2022 was unusually high, due to people having deferred during Covid - but I haven't looked for any data to confirm that.)

Reply 7

Original post by DataVenia
From https://www.ucas.com/undergraduate-statistics-and-reports/ucas-undergraduate-releases/applicant-releases-2024-cycle/2024-cycle-applicant-figures-31-january-deadline, it appears that the number of international applications (EU and non-EU) was slightly up on last year - as of the January equal consideration deadline:
UCAS - January deadline analysis 2024 - International.JPG
However, the number of UK applicants is slightly down on last year:
UCAS - January deadline analysis 2024 - UK.JPG
(I suspect that the number of UK applicants in 2022 was unusually high, due to people having deferred during Covid - but I haven't looked for any data to confirm that.)

Thanks this is excellent, what I was saying is just what I have heard from people at Leeds who said lots of UNI's are struggling and a few may go bankrupt

The difference between the "international student numbers plunge" headline and the numbers reported by UCAS appears to have a simple explanation - undergraduates vs. postgraduates. To quote from that article:

"...the number of international postgraduate students paying deposits to study at British universities this September had dropped by 63%, compared with the previous year..."

The only reference to undergraduates in the article is the context of what might happen due to "further restrictions on the so-called graduate route, which allows foreign students to work in Britain for up to two years after graduation."

Don't get me wrong, I'm aware that many universities are struggling financially - but that doesn't appear to be down a reduction in the number of international undergraduate students over the last year or two (or ever over a longer timescale than that). The "EU (excluding UK)" and "EU" undergraduate applicants (as of the January deadline) for the last few years were:
2017: 94,700
2018: 101,960
2019: 107,580
2020: 116,110
2021: 111,630
2022: (not available)
2023: 114,910
2024: 115,730

T
hat looks like a general trend upwards to me (with some Covid noise).
Original post by LeoHockey123!
What is the chance Lancaster will drop 1 or 2 grades, especially with numbers likely to be at a all time low

Hi @LeoHockey123!

We do often have some flexibility with the grades that we accept when you receive your results, although this does depend on the course, and how many places we have available. Please feel free to contact [email protected] if you would like us to give you a more detailed idea of how likely it is that we will accept you on to your course with the grades you expect to achieve.

Good luck with your applications!
Rebecca (Lancaster Student Ambassador)

Reply 11

Original post by Lancaster Student Ambassador
Hi @LeoHockey123!
We do often have some flexibility with the grades that we accept when you receive your results, although this does depend on the course, and how many places we have available. Please feel free to contact [email protected] if you would like us to give you a more detailed idea of how likely it is that we will accept you on to your course with the grades you expect to achieve.
Good luck with your applications!
Rebecca (Lancaster Student Ambassador)

Brilliant thanks!

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