What's the likelihood of me getting into LSE for actuarial science?

I applied for accounting and finance at LSE for 2024 entry and got in however I went with a degree apprenticeship in audit and rejected my LSE offer. I think I want to shift to actuarial science and I'm confident on it so I'm wondering what my chances are at LSE given that I'm using a very similar personal statement to last time (it got me in for A&F) and my GCSEs and a level results (in maths, physics, chemistry and AS further maths) are really good. Thanks.
edit:
My super curriculars and extra curriculars are duke of Edinburgh, work experience at ICAEW, work experience at Santander, tutoring as a job for over a year, working as an auditor at Deloitte from September 2024 to date and then clubs like badminton etc that I'm not going to include.

LSE look for a 'stellar' UCAS Personal Statement.

would it be considered Stellar if it allowed me to get In last year? Just slightly altered to suit actuarial science with a new paragraph including my year of accounting rather than tutoring.