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Ukraine peace plan, could it work?

The Ukraine civil war has been going on for nearly 3 years now and it’s costing countless lives a lot of money in aid and weapons supplies that the west can barely afford.
If Ukraine was split down the middle following the course of the Dnipro river, Ukraine could keep the western half and Russia could have the eastern half. The city of Kviv will be divided by the border with West Kviv going to Ukraine and the East Kviv going to Russia. After all that’s how peace was brough to Timor by having a separate East Timor. In this case peace will be achieved by having a separate East Ukraine.
Could this be the solution for peace?

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Reply 1

Point of information. It isn't a civil war. A civil war is where factions of the same country are fighting each other. Here we have the sovereign nation of Russia that is invading the sovereign nation of Ukraine and in recent months, visa versa.

Maybe someone should invade the UK and split it down the Pennines. I am sure know one would have any problem with Yorkshire being given to Germany whilst France got to keep Lancashire and half of the home counties and of course, we could split London down the Thames with the southern half being Belgium and the northern half being Italian.

Why do you assume it is ok for a country to invade another and for the sake of peace give half that country to the invaders? Does that not send a strong message that invasion is acceptable?

Reply 2

Original post
by Ambitious1999
The Ukraine civil war has been going on for nearly 3 years now and it’s costing countless lives a lot of money in aid and weapons supplies that the west can barely afford.
If Ukraine was split down the middle following the course of the Dnipro river, Ukraine could keep the western half and Russia could have the eastern half. The city of Kviv will be divided by the border with West Kviv going to Ukraine and the East Kviv going to Russia. After all that’s how peace was brough to Timor by having a separate East Timor. In this case peace will be achieved by having a separate East Ukraine.
Could this be the solution for peace?

Without a doubt, this conflict can and will be settled at the negotiating table. That could and should have happened shortly after the Russian invasion. There was peace plan, devised by the Ukrainian government, that both sides appeared willing to sign: but, for reasons that continue to be the subject of dispute, it was withdrawn at the last moment.

Nothing can be ruled out in times of war but it is exceptionally unlikely that Russia will ever relinquish all the Ukrainian territory it now occupies. The death and destruction will continue therefore until there is a negotiated settlement.

It will be for all parties to such negotiations to determine where compromises should be made but the following article from November of last year is worthy of renewed attention:

A Negotiated Peace in Ukraine Does Not Spell Russian Victory

https://www.newsweek.com/negotiated-peace-ukraine-does-not-spell-russian-victory-opinion-1841944

Reply 3

I don't know why anyone would realistically expect Russia to be satisfied with 'just' a half, they'd just bide their time before creating an other excuse to invade again, and the fact that Russia just can't be trusted as an honest negotiator is a huge part of the problem. Such an action would also embolden them to try the same with their other neighbours.

How are you you planning to explain to these millions of people that they're being given to Russia to abuse? Are you overlooking how aggressively Russia attacked civilians? the bombings, mass graves found of torture victims with cuffed hands, children abducted and given to Russian families, white phos/chemical weapons lobbed into towns etc - I don't thing just drawing a neat black line across the country does much to solve that tension or desire for revenge, issues that I think would persist for generations.

Reply 4

Original post
by Ambitious1999
The Ukraine civil war has been going on for nearly 3 years now and it’s costing countless lives a lot of money in aid and weapons supplies that the west can barely afford.
If Ukraine was split down the middle following the course of the Dnipro river, Ukraine could keep the western half and Russia could have the eastern half. The city of Kviv will be divided by the border with West Kviv going to Ukraine and the East Kviv going to Russia. After all that’s how peace was brough to Timor by having a separate East Timor. In this case peace will be achieved by having a separate East Ukraine.
Could this be the solution for peace?

^^One of the most unashamed and bare-faced pro-Russia positions I have ever seen.

I personally don't trust anything coming out of Ukraine on any angle and I'm not convinced that the leadership is the best.

But this is open Russian aggression that they are relying on their useful idiots in other countries to back them on.

Reply 5

Original post
by Trinculo
^^One of the most unashamed and bare-faced pro-Russia positions I have ever seen.
I personally don't trust anything coming out of Ukraine on any angle and I'm not convinced that the leadership is the best.
But this is open Russian aggression that they are relying on their useful idiots in other countries to back them on.

In the long-running thread on the Ukraine conflict elsewhere on this website, I have repeatedly called for a negotiated peace. As the article I cited in Reply 2 makes clear, a negotiated settlement does not mean a Russian victory.

Russia set out to do in Ukraine what the West had done in Iraq, Yugoslavia and Libya: remove a regime that it did not like.

It failed.

There was never, and could never have been, any prospect of occupying and subjugating all or most of Ukraine. Russia, powerful as it is, simply does not have the resources to do that - still less to threaten, with conventional forces, the 32 counties of NATO with a combined population of over 950 million.

On the other hand, Ukraine does not have the ability to expel Russian forces from all or most of the territory it now occupies.

The idea that Russia is an existential threat to the West is simply soft propaganda put out by NATO to cover its embarrassment at having catastrophically misjudged the situation and in a desperate attempt to keep the populations of its member states on board.

The NATO Secretary General has gone on record as saying that the conflict may well go on for 10 years. Ponder what that would mean for Ukraine. For a start, the Zelensky administration could not possibly avoid holding elections for that long. More importantly, another cohort of young men and women would be sent to their deaths while their country was reduced to rubble.

Opposition to continued military support for Ukraine is now gathering pace across Europe and the US. The people want an end to this tragedy and their governments know it. Already, Germany has ended much of its support as part of public spending cuts at home. Crucially, support is waning in the US.

The following extract from an opinion piece in today's Guardian sums up the position perfectly:

"NATO at the moment is trapped. The economic war on Russia has been a disaster. It has sorely hurt western trade, sending energy and agricultural supply prices soaring...There has to be a peace treaty in Ukraine, presumably along the lines of the failed Istanbul talks in 2022. That Putin agreed to those talks showed he knew his invasion was a mistake. Now an armistice line must be drawn and policed. Western politicians eager to pose as tough guys do peace no service by promising to back Zelenskiy to total victory. They know perfectly well that such a victory is impossible. The only question is how much death and destruction must continue in the meantime."

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/sep/16/keir-starmer-nato-ukraine-british-long-range-missiles-russia

Reply 6

Original post
by Ambitious1999
The Ukraine civil war has been going on for nearly 3 years now and it’s costing countless lives a lot of money in aid and weapons supplies that the west can barely afford.
If Ukraine was split down the middle following the course of the Dnipro river, Ukraine could keep the western half and Russia could have the eastern half. The city of Kviv will be divided by the border with West Kviv going to Ukraine and the East Kviv going to Russia. After all that’s how peace was brough to Timor by having a separate East Timor. In this case peace will be achieved by having a separate East Ukraine.
Could this be the solution for peace?

It's likely a solution for peace would be a redrawing of the Russia/Ukraine boundary to the Travneve - Rannia Zoria line.

Reply 7

Original post
by Supermature
In the long-running thread on the Ukraine conflict elsewhere on this website, I have repeatedly called for a negotiated peace. As the article I cited in Reply 2 makes clear, a negotiated settlement does not mean a Russian victory.
Russia set out to do in Ukraine what the West had done in Iraq, Yugoslavia and Libya: remove a regime that it did not like.
It failed.
There was never, and could never have been, any prospect of occupying and subjugating all or most of Ukraine. Russia, powerful as it is, simply does not have the resources to do that - still less to threaten, with conventional forces, the 32 counties of NATO with a combined population of over 950 million.
On the other hand, Ukraine does not have the ability to expel Russian forces from all or most of the territory it now occupies.
The idea that Russia is an existential threat to the West is simply soft propaganda put out by NATO to cover its embarrassment at having catastrophically misjudged the situation and in a desperate attempt to keep the populations of its member states on board.
The NATO Secretary General has gone on record as saying that the conflict may well go on for 10 years. Ponder what that would mean for Ukraine. For a start, the Zelensky administration could not possibly avoid holding elections for that long. More importantly, another cohort of young men and women would be sent to their deaths while their country was reduced to rubble.
Opposition to continued military support for Ukraine is now gathering pace across Europe and the US. The people want an end to this tragedy and their governments know it. Already, Germany has ended much of its support as part of public spending cuts at home. Crucially, support is waning in the US.
The following extract from an opinion piece in today's Guardian sums up the position perfectly:
"NATO at the moment is trapped. The economic war on Russia has been a disaster. It has sorely hurt western trade, sending energy and agricultural supply prices soaring...There has to be a peace treaty in Ukraine, presumably along the lines of the failed Istanbul talks in 2022. That Putin agreed to those talks showed he knew his invasion was a mistake. Now an armistice line must be drawn and policed. Western politicians eager to pose as tough guys do peace no service by promising to back Zelenskiy to total victory. They know perfectly well that such a victory is impossible. The only question is how much death and destruction must continue in the meantime."
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/sep/16/keir-starmer-nato-ukraine-british-long-range-missiles-russia

Indeed. As I have called for on the other thread a redrawing on the map along the Travneve - Rannia Zoria line should be agreed as quickly as practical as a negotiated peace settlement. As you say, it would not represent victory for either party.

Reply 8

Original post
by Ambitious1999
The Ukraine civil war has been going on for nearly 3 years now and it’s costing countless lives a lot of money in aid and weapons supplies that the west can barely afford.
If Ukraine was split down the middle following the course of the Dnipro river, Ukraine could keep the western half and Russia could have the eastern half. The city of Kviv will be divided by the border with West Kviv going to Ukraine and the East Kviv going to Russia. After all that’s how peace was brough to Timor by having a separate East Timor. In this case peace will be achieved by having a separate East Ukraine.
Could this be the solution for peace?

I think it would be a good deal in addition to a permanent treaty that Ukraine never join Nato. President Putin may support that peace deal and I suggest all parties to engage in it.

Reply 9

Original post
by Wired_1800
I think it would be a good deal in addition to a permanent treaty that Ukraine never join Nato. President Putin may support that peace deal and I suggest all parties to engage in it.

You can't put that in a treaty to a sovereign nation you raving walloper 😅

What is it about you and automatically gravitating to the most obviously evil option of any discussion? Putin, Sunak, Trump, Tates... you can't get enough of these people or shouting their praises over the rest of us 🤔
(edited 1 year ago)

Reply 10

Original post
by StriderHort
You can't put that in a treaty to a sovereign nation you raving walloper 😅
What is it about you and automatically gravitating to the most obviously evil option of any discussion?

My fundamental desire is for peace on both sides. Rather than continue a conflict with loss of Ukrainian lives, it is imperative that there are compromises sought and one key compromise is not joining Nato which was President Putin’s red line.

It is disgusting imho that some in the public seem to want the conflict to continue when their family members are not involved.

Reply 11

Original post
by Wired_1800
My fundamental desire is for peace on both sides. Rather than continue a conflict with loss of Ukrainian lives, it is imperative that there are compromises sought and one key compromise is not joining Nato which was President Putin’s red line.
It is disgusting imho that some in the public seem to want the conflict to continue when their family members are not involved.

None of that matters, you simply cant give a country that sort of permanent instruction as part of a negotiation. That's not a compromise, it's being a vassal state in perpetuity.

Reply 12

Original post
by Wired_1800
My fundamental desire is for peace on both sides. Rather than continue a conflict with loss of Ukrainian lives, it is imperative that there are compromises sought and one key compromise is not joining Nato which was President Putin’s red line.
It is disgusting imho that some in the public seem to want the conflict to continue when their family members are not involved.

Are your family members involved?

Reply 13

Original post
by StriderHort
Are your family members involved?

No, but it is reasonable to seek peace. It is a human way to think and not want war for other people’s family members whilst you sit miles away.

Reply 14

Original post
by StriderHort
None of that matters, you simply cant give a country that sort of permanent instruction as part of a negotiation. That's not a compromise, it's being a vassal state in perpetuity.

Do you think the US would tolerate Cuba forming a military alliance with China and Russia? If no, then they are a vassal state in perpetuity.

The problem with this discourse is the balance between fairness and hypocrisy. We would consider it to be fair that no hostile nation is military-aligned to an adversary whilst being on our doorsteps whether the UK or the US. However, we are happy to not expect the same for other countries.

Reply 15

Original post
by Wired_1800
My fundamental desire is for peace on both sides. Rather than continue a conflict with loss of Ukrainian lives, it is imperative that there are compromises sought and one key compromise is not joining Nato which was President Putin’s red line.
It is disgusting imho that some in the public seem to want the conflict to continue when their family members are not involved.

"It is disgusting imho that some in the public seem to want the conflict to continue when their family members are not involved."
Given that pretty much every Ukrainian opposes surrender to the Russian aggressor, and they "have family members involved", it is disgusting that people would have them roll over and let Putin's jackboots stomp all over them.

Reply 16

Original post
by Wired_1800
No, but it is reasonable to seek peace. It is a human way to think and not want war for other people’s family members whilst you sit miles away.

And yet those same people who you are urging to surrender to the brutal invader are resolute in their determination to keep fighting for their liberty and sovereignty.
TBH I'll listen to the Ukrainian people on the ground before a shameless Putin apologist on the internet.

Reply 17

Original post
by 2WheelGod
And yet those same people who you are urging to surrender to the brutal invader are resolute in their determination to keep fighting for their liberty and sovereignty.
TBH I'll listen to the Ukrainian people on the ground before a shameless Putin apologist on the internet.

That’s reasonable.

Reply 18

Original post
by 2WheelGod
"It is disgusting imho that some in the public seem to want the conflict to continue when their family members are not involved."
Given that pretty much every Ukrainian opposes surrender to the Russian aggressor, and they "have family members involved", it is disgusting that people would have them roll over and let Putin's jackboots stomp all over them.

I seek peace. If they seek conflict, that’s their decision.

Reply 19

Original post
by Wired_1800
Do you think the US would tolerate Cuba forming a military alliance with China and Russia? If no, then they are a vassal state in perpetuity.
The problem with this discourse is the balance between fairness and hypocrisy. We would consider it to be fair that no hostile nation is military-aligned to an adversary whilst being on our doorsteps whether the UK or the US. However, we are happy to not expect the same for other countries.

So why hasn't Russia invaded Georgia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia? If they are not a threat, why is Ukraine?

Poor analogy.
A better one would be if the democratically elected Ukraine government decided to join the Russian Federation, would NATO invade?
The answer is an entirely obvious "no".

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