Medical school choice

Hi Guys, need URGENT ADVISE (sorry I previously posted query incorrect thread I think!) :

My UCAT 2740 B2. Vr: 510; DM: 680; QR: 710; AR: 840

A level predicted A*AA (A* in Maths) Bio & Chem A, A

GCSE 9998887765 ( Chem-9; Physics-9; DT-9; Bio -8; maths-8; Eng Lang-8; Geog-8; Eng Lit-7; Hist-7; 6 in further Maths & 5 in Spanish)

Non Widening participation candidate but young carer status (? NIA Form might beuseful)

Is it too risky to apply for Manchester A106 Medicine or UEA A100 Medicine ? Also Debating if Keele would be safer than Manchester??

Thanks V. much