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Uk university (mathematics w/statistics) + 40 Predicted Points in IB

Hi everyone,

I'm an IB student with a predicted score of 40, including a 7 in Mathematics AA HL. I applied to Oxford but unfortunately got rejected, so now I’m focusing on other top universities. I have some questions about my chances:

Warwick University: I’ve already applied to Warwick, where the IB requirement is 39 overall, including 7 in HL Mathematics AA. Based on my predicted grades, do you think I’m in a strong position to get an offer?

University of Edinburgh: Edinburgh’s requirement for the course I’m interested in is between 38 points (766 at HL) and 34 points (765 at HL), with a 7 required in HL Mathematics AA. Given my predictions, do you think I have a good shot?

University of Manchester: Their requirement is 37 points overall, with 7,6,6 at HL, including a 7 in Mathematics AA HL. The issue is, I take Maths, Chemistry, and Biology at HL, but my predicted grades are 7 in Maths, 6 in Biology, and 5 in Chemistry. Do you think my 5 in HL Chemistry will prevent me from getting an offer, or is there still hope because I meet the overall and Maths requirement?

I’d really appreciate any advice or insights about my chances at these universities! Thanks so much. 😊
Reply 1
Hi - are you an international or Scottish applicant? That might make a difference.
Reply 2
Original post by ajj2000
Hi - are you an international or Scottish applicant? That might make a difference.

Hello, I'm an international applicant
Warwick maths has a very high offer rate, because all offers require you to get a certain result in the TMUA, MAT or STEP as I understand. I think it's like a 90% offer rate or near that - since so many fail to ultimately achieve the STEP (or TMUA/MAT) conditions of the offer and they can be strict for near misses on results day.

I think Edinburgh is less likely - the "standard" offer is the top range of the offers listed on their website. Lower offers are normally for contextual applicants so unless you meet contextual flags you may not be as competitive. Likewise for Manchester.

However, you only ultimately need two offers (one to firm, one to insure) so it's reasonable to apply to an aspirational choice or two. So no reason not to apply to one of the latter two, along with a lower entry criteria course to serve as an insurance option, plus one more maybe similar to your predicted results.

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