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Bank of England cuts interest rates to lowest level at 4.5%

The Bank of England has cut interest rates from 4.75 to 4.5%, their lowest level since 2023, and marks the lowest level of the cost of borrowing in 18 months.
The Bank anticipates that the UK economy will grow by 0.75% in 2025 before accelerating in 2026.

https://www.itv.com/news/2025-02-06/bank-of-england-expected-to-cut-interest-rates

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Reply 1

"Bank of England cuts interest rates to lowest level at 4.5%"

Surely 0.1% was the lowest level in 2020?

Reply 2

They still owe savers the 20-40% inflation they caused with the covid-19 nonsense money printing.
Original post
by TheStupidMoon
They still owe savers the 20-40% inflation they caused with the covid-19 nonsense money printing.
Ah yes, COVID money printing, it definitely wasn't mostly related to the massive spike in energy prices in 2022 and the indirect effects this had on the broader inflation basket...

Reply 4

Original post
by BenRyan99
Ah yes, COVID money printing, it definitely wasn't mostly related to the massive spike in energy prices in 2022 and the indirect effects this had on the broader inflation basket...

Because printing hundreds of billions of pounds and the low interest rates prior to that had no effect?

Reply 5

Original post
by TheStupidMoon
Because printing hundreds of billions of pounds and the low interest rates prior to that had no effect?
The economy is a large dynamic system, everything has an effect. But I would say those factors played a very minor role in the inflation spike in recent years. Interest rates were at rock bottom since 2008, why would that randomly start to cause an inflation spike in 2022 when interest rates started rising? Moreover, COVID government spending mainly softened an output gap, it wasn't creating excess demand in the UK.

When you look at the actual consumer price index and the contributions to it, the spike in inflation mainly came from the energy category in 2022, then the indirect and second round effects of this on high energy intensive food and core categories. None of that points to the impact of past low interest rates or government spending during COVID.

Reply 6

Original post
by BenRyan99
The economy is a large dynamic system, everything has an effect. But I would say those factors played a very minor role in the inflation spike in recent years. Interest rates were at rock bottom since 2008, why would that randomly start to cause an inflation spike in 2022 when interest rates started rising? Moreover, COVID government spending mainly softened an output gap, it wasn't creating excess demand in the UK.
When you look at the actual consumer price index and the contributions to it, the spike in inflation mainly came from the energy category in 2022, then the indirect and second round effects of this on high energy intensive food and core categories. None of that points to the impact of past low interest rates or government spending during COVID.

Now the debate is going off in two directions.
Whether the money printing has caused inflation or do you think that the money could go on forever without any negative effects.
Whether the state has caused inflation with it's other actions.

Reply 7

Original post
by TheStupidMoon
Because printing hundreds of billions of pounds and the low interest rates prior to that had no effect?

Didn't seem to from 2009 to 2019....
...nor has destroying hundreds of billions of pounds over the last two years brought low inflation.

Reply 8

Original post
by Quady
"Bank of England cuts interest rates to lowest level at 4.5%"
Surely 0.1% was the lowest level in 2020?


says since 2023

Reply 9

Original post
by sophiaallan2
says since 2023

The title doesn't.

So in 18 months then?
(edited 11 months ago)

Reply 10

Original post
by Quady
The title doesn't.
So in 18 months then?


it literally says since 2023 u can read it- the title doesn’t matter as it expands it in the post

Reply 11

Original post
by sophiaallan2
it literally says since 2023 u can read it- the title doesn’t matter as it expands it in the post

Clickbate then?

Reply 12

Original post
by Quady
Clickbate then?


yes and no

Reply 13

I assumed people had enough common sense to see that the title is expanded in the post - as I tend to normally do. Evidently, lacking in some places.

Reply 14

Original post
by erin11
I assumed people had enough common sense to see that the title is expanded in the post - as I tend to normally do. Evidently, lacking in some places.


literally 😭😭😭

Reply 15

Original post
by erin11
I assumed people had enough common sense to see that the title is expanded in the post - as I tend to normally do. Evidently, lacking in some places.


Apologies if this comes across as a bit sharp for some people but unless you’re going to start running threads on TSR, just use the thread to chat about the topic rather than make sarky comments

Reply 16

Original post
by TheStupidMoon
Now the debate is going off in two directions.
Whether the money printing has caused inflation or do you think that the money could go on forever without any negative effects.
Whether the state has caused inflation with it's other actions.
If high headline inflation was caused by domestic money printing, it would predominantly manifest itself via high services inflation.

Yet what we actually saw was gradually rising core goods prices (due to COVID supply chain bottle necks), then a spike from the energy category after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, then the second round effects this spike had on the rest of inflation basket due to a tight labour market and higher inflation expectations.

Moreover, money printing wasn't going on forever. There was a bit after the GFC, which didn't cause an inflation spike given the size of the output gap. Then there was a little during covid which has since been unwound via QT.

Reply 17

Original post
by BenRyan99
If high headline inflation was caused by domestic money printing, it would predominantly manifest itself via high services inflation.
Yet what we actually saw was gradually rising core goods prices (due to COVID supply chain bottle necks), then a spike from the energy category after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, then the second round effects this spike had on the rest of inflation basket due to a tight labour market and higher inflation expectations.
Moreover, money printing wasn't going on forever. There was a bit after the GFC, which didn't cause an inflation spike given the size of the output gap. Then there was a little during covid which has since been unwound via QT.


Why do you think it would manifest itself via high services inflation or that low interests rates haven't contributed to problems?
There was a special name for the types of problems it creates but I can't remember it at the moment.

Reply 18

Original post
by TheStupidMoon
Why do you think it would manifest itself via high services inflation or that low interests rates haven't contributed to problems?
There was a special name for the types of problems it creates but I can't remember it at the moment.
It's a pretty sensible assumption to make that 'money printing' would manifest itself primarily in services inflation and possibly a bit in core goods inflation. To think otherwise requires some very strange logic, namely that money printing in the UK would push up international oil, gas and food commodity prices. It seems pretty reasonable to assume domestic money printing wouldn't cause a spike in parts of the CPI basket that are typically externally driven.

I think maybe rates were a little lower than they should've been, but the difference is small. Rates were low because growth was low. If money printing was the issue you would get extremely high nominal GDP growth and inflation after QE and we didn't see that. After COVID QE, we only saw inflation start to pick up sharply once Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, which caused a spike in the energy component of the CPI basket, rather than core inflation (where the effects of excessive QE would show up).
Original post
by erin11
The Bank of England has cut interest rates from 4.75 to 4.5%, their lowest level since 2023, and marks the lowest level of the cost of borrowing in 18 months.
The Bank anticipates that the UK economy will grow by 0.75% in 2025 before accelerating in 2026.
https://www.itv.com/news/2025-02-06/bank-of-england-expected-to-cut-interest-rates

I think its good that it is coming down.
Yes, we wont get as much interest on savings. But the cost of borrowing is coming down nicely.

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