An excellent article and a worthy contribution to the debate.
What this piece by former UK Foreign Secretary Lord Hague (from a traditional centre-right standpoint) is essentially saying is not that the tariff policy is misguided
per se, but that the timing and mode of implementation is wrong.
'
While Trump is right to think that the US needs to become less dependent on China’s exports, the better way to have gone about it would have been to raise some tariffs slowly, keeping allies onside, while building up American ability to cope without Chinese production of key materials and technologies.'
In other words:
'He (President Trump)
has started a trade war before he is in a position to win it.'How accurate this turns out to be depends in part on the willingness of the US consumer to "stay the course"and how effective the "Liberation Day" tariffs on other countries (including those that are obviously tactical) are in bringing about the desired results.
It also depends on the outcome of the US administration's other policies, such as the rapprochement with Russia.
This whole episode serves to highlight the limits of sovereignty in a deeply interconnected world: a world that has, perhaps, become a little
too interconnected for its own good.
Having heard from the centre-right (and in most of my posts, from the left) it is well worth examining the tariff policy by reference to its point of origin, the "New Right":
A New Trade Paradigm - American Compasshttps://americancompass.org/a-new-trade-paradigm/'Over the past three decades, free trade advocates have argued that further opening U.S. markets would only expose low-value manufacturing to foreign competition, allowing the United States to focus on advanced industries. That is not what happened. America’s advanced technology manufacturing dropped from a surplus of $38 billion in 1991 to a deficit of $299 billion in 2024. High-technology exports have even fallen as a share of U.S. manufactured exports from 30% in 2007 to 22% in 2023...The decline of American manufacturing and its corresponding rise in China has created significant threats to U.S. national security...While many on the upper end of the income scale have benefited from the United States’ broken trade policy, the typical male worker now needs to work the equivalent of 62 weeks to attain the same middle-class security for a family of four that 40 weeks of work would have delivered in 1985. Extensive research by David Autor, David Dorn, and Gordan Hanson has shown the free trade paradigm has erased millions of manufacturing jobs and devastated thousands of communities over the last twenty five years.'And that's what it's all about. Not the cost of buying a pair of shoes or a smartphone.