What gives me a better chance, transfer or UCAS?

It’s great that you’ve identified your desire to switch to Law at Edinburgh! Given the competitive nature of the course, it’s understandable to want to weigh your options carefully.
1. Transfer vs UCAS Application: Generally, applying through UCAS as a new student may provide a clearer path, especially if the university cannot guarantee transfers for the next academic year. Admissions committees often evaluate new applications based on a range of factors, including your academic performance and personal statement.
2. Current Student Status: As a current student, your familiarity with the university and its resources could work in your favour, but it may not significantly enhance your chances compared to a new applicant. Each application cycle is competitive, and admissions decisions are ultimately based on the specific criteria they have for that year.
3. Risk of Waiting: If you wait for a transfer decision and it doesn’t come through in time, you could miss the opportunity to apply via UCAS, which could leave you without a place for the next academic year. Dropping out and applying through UCAS might seem daunting, but it could provide you with a more secure option.
Ultimately, if you’re confident in your ability to meet the requirements and present a strong application, it may be worth pursuing the UCAS route. It might also help to discuss your situation with an academic advisor or someone in the admissions office for more tailored guidance.
Good luck with your decision!

Thank you so much!

It looks like I will have to drop out and apply again as they are telling me they aren’t able to guarantee transfers for the next academic year yet, and waiting to know will leave it too late for a ucas application, which I cannot do as a current student.