LSE IR & History / UCL PIR / KCL PIA — contextual applicant, timeline + chances?

Hi everyone,
Just wondering if anyone has thoughts or similar experiences.
I’ve applied for International Relations & History at LSE, Politics & International Relations at UCL, Politics & International Affairs at KCL, and International Relations at St Andrews.
Profile (roughly):
Predicted A* A* A* at A-level
GCSEs mostly 6-7 (History 7, English Lang 6, Maths 6)
Contextual factors: high bursary (90%), documented disruption during GCSEs, and access arrangements (25% extra time – flagged on UCAS, plus school reference letter explaining circumstances)
Personal statement is very academic/theory-based (IR, political legitimacy, post-colonialism etc.), and reference strongly supports the upward trajectory.
I know LSE IR & History is very GCSE-heavy, so I’m realistic that it’s a reach, but I’d be interested to hear from anyone who:
got an offer/rejection from LSE IR or IR & History with contextual factors, or
has an idea of when these courses tend to reply (especially LSE / St Andrews)
Mostly just trying to calibrate expectations and timelines.
Any insight appreciated, thanks!