LSE BSc Economics - Chance me?

Hi there -
Ive applied to LSE BSc Economics and the waiting is getting to me a bit. I'd like to see what kind of chance people think I have of getting in. I have also applied to UCL, St.Andrews, & Bath for Pure Economics as well, and i've not heard back from them. I got rejected from Cambridge Economics pre-interview. I applied on the 13th of October with only receiving 1/5 decisions so far.
STATS:
4x A-Stars (A*) s predicted in Maths, Further Maths, Economics and Computer Science
9x9s and 2x8s at I/GCSEs with 9s in Maths, Further Maths and Computer Science
TMUA - 4.5
PS: Very economics heavy with a focus on quantitative economics and policy with books, included quantitative economics based computer science projects such as an trading arbitrage tool, Black-Scholes model implementation with live stock data.
Judging from this years TMUA distribution, I believe i'm placed at around the 60%-65% percentile with a mean grade of about 3.95 across the cohort.
Thanks!

Hi there -
Ive applied to LSE BSc Economics and the waiting is getting to me a bit. I'd like to see what kind of chance people think I have of getting in. I have also applied to UCL, St.Andrews, & Bath for Pure Economics as well, and i've not heard back from them. I got rejected from Cambridge Economics pre-interview. I applied on the 13th of October with only receiving 1/5 decisions so far.
STATS:
4x A-Stars (A*) s predicted in Maths, Further Maths, Economics and Computer Science
9x9s and 2x8s at I/GCSEs with 9s in Maths, Further Maths and Computer Science
TMUA - 4.5
PS: Very economics heavy with a focus on quantitative economics and policy with books, included quantitative economics based computer science projects such as an trading arbitrage tool, Black-Scholes model implementation with live stock data.
Judging from this years TMUA distribution, I believe i'm placed at around the 60%-65% percentile with a mean grade of about 3.95 across the cohort.
Thanks!

which Cambridge college did you apply? I think your stats are v good.

Applied to Selwyn.
I think I applied to the wrong college as it doesnt apply well to my demographics
20% Privately educated at Selwyn compared to 36% average across cambridge
Very large proportion of international students compared to other colleges.
2nd most academic in college rankings for Economics in terms of firsts.

My son has similar stats as yours (with an extra EPQ A*). Went to interview with Homerton and got rejected. He answered all the 4 questions in detail, correctly and properly engaged with the interviewers! No clue why - waiting for feedback.
Selwyn is very choosy. Kings has been generous this year giving out offers for 3.7 TMUA (and lower GCSEs than you both) - non contextual as well!

My son has similar stats as yours (with an extra EPQ A*). Went to interview with Homerton and got rejected. He answered all the 4 questions in detail, correctly and properly engaged with the interviewers! No clue why - waiting for feedback.
Selwyn is very choosy. Kings has been generous this year giving out offers for 3.7 TMUA (and lower GCSEs than you both) - non contextual as well!

Did he manage to request feedback from the interviewers? My Oxford applicant friends got theirs; I'm unsure if Cambridge also offer this service? I thought my lack of interview was as a direct result of a low TMUA, although seeing the distribution it seems a bit harsh to not give an interview based on that when other colleges, as you've said, give offers for lower TMUA scores.
I was wondering if Bath purposefully delays offer responses to Oxbridge applicants in an effort to seem more competitive, but perhaps this is just me thinking like a conspiracy theorist.
Thanks for your response!

Did he manage to request feedback from the interviewers? My Oxford applicant friends got theirs; I'm unsure if Cambridge also offer this service? I thought my lack of interview was as a direct result of a low TMUA, although seeing the distribution it seems a bit harsh to not give an interview based on that when other colleges, as you've said, give offers for lower TMUA scores.
I was wondering if Bath purposefully delays offer responses to Oxbridge applicants in an effort to seem more competitive, but perhaps this is just me thinking like a conspiracy theorist.
Thanks for your response!

The lowest TMUA among offerees at LSE for BSc Economics last cycle was 4. We can safely assume that was for a student with multiple markers of disadvantage.

state school - very good chance
private school - low chance

Got it - TMUA scoring distribution has shifted down a but this year by nearly a grade, moving the median & mean scores down by approx 0.8, so I guess that's the equivalent of a 3.2-3.3 this year getting an offer.

The scoring is the same this year (results are comparable to last year), so the fact that the distribution is different is unlikely to change offer terms of the most selective universities.