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OCR Economics F585 June 2012

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Reply 1180
Original post by Clare1994
I know that! Any explanation?
All i got is that increasing the money supply of the yuan puts downward pressure on interest rates and for a 6 marker that isn't a lot lol


An explanation of how interest rate affects the exchange rate? High interest rates - high demand for currency due to the gains of putting money into financial institutions, puts upwards pressure on the exchange rate.
Use 'Black Wednesday' as an example of how juggling the focus of domestic inflation and a fixed exchange rate in terms of monetary policy can go tits up
Could you say how if interest rates are increased to prevent exchange rate from depreciating it causes conflict with maintaining econ growth and explain why and if interest rates are increased to prevent exchange rate from appreciating it causes conflict with maintaining stable prices and explain why or is that just repetition of the point I made before lol?
. I think that there's very limited stuff to say on that.. Hopefully that would be a 4 marker if anything :/
Okay so yesterday I was pretty confident I knew the stuff, or had enough knowledge to get the grade to get A overall.. but come today morning, and I'm panicking, feel like I don't know much, although I know the content and things :|

Last min advice from my teacher: Easy way to get evaluation mark, is to always to include "It depends on..." in conclusion paragraph, because ultimately whether it occurs or not, or is effective or not always depends on something :')

Last exam, so really hopes it goes good!
Original post by AmyBarbie
Could you say how if interest rates are increased to prevent exchange rate from depreciating it causes conflict with maintaining econ growth and explain why and if interest rates are increased to prevent exchange rate from appreciating it causes conflict with maintaining stable prices and explain why or is that just repetition of the point I made before lol?
. I think that there's very limited stuff to say on that.. Hopefully that would be a 4 marker if anything :/


that's what i was thinking rather than a 6 marker
Comment on the policy conflict between monetary policy and fiscal policy credibility? (10)

I have a basic outline of my argument but what does everyone think?
Original post by Brand New Eyes
This is all in unit 2 though


Never went into depth about why you don't use interest rates and exchange rates at the same time though
Okay, can someone clarify something please?
Chinese economy can be rebalanced through inflation right?
This would mean that exports will drop as chinese producers lose international competitiveness, but doesn't inflation mean that the value of the currency will drop? Meaning that exports will be cheaper, and demand increase given it is elastic? :| Or am I confusing myself with something else?
Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
I'm scared of this exam.
I was looking at the possible 20 marker on China's export ban, and what impact it would have on growth and development.

I thought that one point you could make is the impact on growth and development depends on the reaction of the WTO, China wants to stop 95% of all rare earths being circulated into the global economy. Surely as the WTO tries to encourage things like market liberalisation this ban goes against everything they stand for, so they may attempt to prevent the ban, meaning that there would be no impact on growth and development. I believe the WTO could do this as in 2009 they did successfully prevent a trade dispute between China and the USA (even though the dispute has re-emerged).
Original post by chocolate_monster
Okay, can someone clarify something please?
Chinese economy can be rebalanced through inflation right?
This would mean that exports will drop as chinese producers lose international competitiveness, but doesn't inflation mean that the value of the currency will drop? Meaning that exports will be cheaper, and demand increase given it is elastic? :| Or am I confusing myself with something else?


Inflation is a rise in the price of goods and services the value of the currency will drop but that won't make the goods any cheaper... I think
It's def true that the inflation still makes the goods relatively more expensive
Original post by Wbradbury
I was looking at the possible 20 marker on China's export ban, and what impact it would have on growth and development.

I thought that one point you could make is the impact on growth and development depends on the reaction of the WTO, China wants to stop 95% of all rare earths being circulated into the global economy. Surely as the WTO tries to encourage things like market liberalisation this ban goes against everything they stand for, so they may attempt to prevent the ban, meaning that there would be no impact on growth and development. I believe the WTO could do this as in 2009 they did successfully prevent a trade dispute between China and the USA (even though the dispute has re-emerged).


But it's asking the impact that ban would have...
If the wto stopped the ban than there would obviously be no effect making the point irrelevant to the question
Reply 1192
could anyone give a few examples of how china could rebalance their economy?
Original post by Clare1994
Inflation is a rise in the price of goods and services the value of the currency will drop but that won't make the goods any cheaper... I think
It's def true that the inflation still makes the goods relatively more expensive


Hmm.. If value of Yuan decreases, then surely exports will be cheaper for rest of the world? How does that balance the economy?
Original post by Clare1994
Extent to which the ban will be a threat to growth and development
3rd and final point:
restrictions on trade will have the effect of reducing the volume of trade and this does against free trade principles of the WTO of which china is a member
L3 analysis:
decline in trade will undermine the benefit of specialisation by comparative advantagemeaning higher prices, lower real incomes in the developed world and reduction in global growth
Restrictions can lead to retaliation leading to further falls in trade which will affect even chinese export led growth having a adverse effect on growth and development
L4 eval: effect dependant on marshal lerner condition


Can you expand this, I don't really understand how to evaluate that :s-smilie:
Original post by Wbradbury
Can you expand this, I don't really understand how to evaluate that :s-smilie:


Marshal lerner condition:
Any decline in net exports is dependent on the price elasticity of demand on exports and imports being greater than on
Reply 1196
Original post by chocolate_monster
Hmm.. If value of Yuan decreases, then surely exports will be cheaper for rest of the world? How does that balance the economy?


Fixed exchange rate...:wink:
How would one answer this?
Using figure 2.2, comment on the American assertion that China is undervaluing on its currency
(Extract 2)
Original post by ILM16
Fixed exchange rate...:wink:

:facepalm:

Omd, I completely forgot about that!
Thanks!
Original post by Wbradbury
Inflation up = imports "relatively" cheaper, exports relatively more expensive. Imports rise, exports fall. CA worsens. High imports, low exports = D for £ low, S of £ high = depreciation.
Depreciation will fix this problem. Makes imports relatively more expensive, exports relatively cheaper. CA rebalanced.

point 2 = marshal-lerner.

(Credit to uxa595)


Wouldn't a strong yuan cause Import to be cheaper. That will also help rebalance the economy, right?


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