well the first thing I'd think about is conservation of momentum. the alpha is going to have a much greater velocity than the Th nucleus
and KE=1/2mv^2
so large difference in v is going to dominate large difference in mass and the alpha is going to make off with a lot more than half the total energy, but less than all the energy.
4/238 - is less than 1/2
4/234 - is less than 1/2
1/2 - is equal to 1/2
234/238 - is more than 1/2 but less than 1
1 - is equal to 1
There's only one option that's even in the right area