Matched Betting

Original post by leinad2012

All money is frozen in their accounts!!

Oooh! Did anyone see that coming?

I 'think' mine is empty...

Reply 9441

Original post by redmel1621

Oooh! Did anyone see that coming?

I 'think' mine is empty...

I was surprised they could be profitable. Very user unfriendly, offers loads of easy to exploit deal. Dreadful odds which would scare normal punters away.

Someone on another forum was saying they had a deal running where people would get up to £100 free bets if England beat Russia. So imagine the shitstorm they would have been in if England won!

Reply 9442

Reue

£60 in there. Trying to reclaim it via VISA chargeback through my bank.

Reply 9443

Don't you just love it when pokerstars offer you an email exclusive bet 50 get 50 for no reason, and then also throw in a random 35 free bet for no reason?! And this is a week after one of my £5 free bets won at odds of 27.0 and a mug acca came in!

Reply 9444

Original post by leinad2012

Don't you just love it when pokerstars offer you an email exclusive bet 50 get 50 for no reason, and then also throw in a random 35 free bet for no reason?! And this is a week after one of my £5 free bets won at odds of 27.0 and a mug acca came in!

You're special :tongue:

*sulks in the corner*

I'm only on Coral and Lads inplays today/tomorrow.... bit light on the money side of things currently!

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Reply 9445

Reue

Original post by leinad2012

Don't you just love it when pokerstars offer you an email exclusive bet 50 get 50 for no reason, and then also throw in a random 35 free bet for no reason?! And this is a week after one of my £5 free bets won at odds of 27.0 and a mug acca came in!

Very nice!

Ladbrokes keep sending me £10 risk free casino every week.. no idea what I did to trigger it.

Make just over £1.8k last month. Slow start to this month though so hoping it picks up.

Reply 9446

stirkee

19

lost bet365 :frown:

not surprised though, made a lot of money from them the past few months. even most of my mug bets/straight up punts actually won money haha so i knew it was only a matter of time.

anyone had any success with making a second account?

Reply 9447

Obviously hitting a streak of good variance. Just checked and all 3 of my horses yesterday finished 2nd :biggrin:

Nice £75 worth of free bets for today on top of £20 of inplays with coral and lads :biggrin:

Get the feeling my bet365 account will be getting gubbed soon as my qualifier and inplay were both on Wales at odds of 5.0. Can't imagine they'll be pleased with me winning £400 with them even if I had been on a nice losing streak with them on the horses recently

Reply 9448

HucktheForde

Fuark missed the paddy then France score five goals. .. :facepalm:

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Reply 9449

Original post by HucktheForde

Fuark missed the paddy then France score five goals. .. :facepalm:

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I looked at it, but there have been so few goals I just couldn't be bothered putting it in... TYPICAL lol.

Reply 9450

HucktheForde

Original post by redmel1621

I looked at it, but there have been so few goals I just couldn't be bothered putting it in... TYPICAL lol.

I did on every game except France because I was drunk all day on Sunday. .

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Reply 9451

I feel myself

3

Has anyone tried the betstars bet and spin? Did it 10 times, £10 each time, and 3/10 landed on 1.5. Layed all the bets so didn't made minimal loss. not sure if b365 is doing their offer tomorrow:/

Reply 9452

Original post by I feel myself

Has anyone tried the betstars bet and spin? Did it 10 times, £10 each time, and 3/10 landed on 1.5. Layed all the bets so didn't made minimal loss. not sure if b365 is doing their offer tomorrow:/

I tried it for a free bet, but the bet and spin can't be profitable on it's own surely? The expected odds (when you factor in the probability of each boosted odds) are done in such a way that the expected payoff is pretty much exactly the same as a normal bet.

By this, I mean I took the example of:

Odds 11.0, stake £10

So a normal bet that wins returns £110 (£100 in winnings)

The expected odds of the bet and spin are 12.221, but the stake is reduced to £9
So the return from this is £109.989 (£99.989 in winnings)

Even if you assumed matches of 98% I can't see how it is profitable

Edit: on the bet365, I doubt they'll do another one so soon. EVERYONE on another forum I'm on used their free bet at half time on Wales at odds 5.0, and loads will have used Wales as their qualifier. If 5,000 people chose Wales at 5.0 at half time as their risk free bet (not an outrageous figure given how many people matched bet these days, plus your average punter would have Home nation bias), that's 4*50*5000= £1,000,000 I would estimate that they lost from running that deal. Obviously it will be lower factoring in other peoples bets, but Wales winning will have cost them a ****ing ton I reckon.

(edited 7 years ago)

Reply 9453

I feel myself

3

Original post by leinad2012

I tried it for a free bet, but the bet and spin can't be profitable on it's own surely? The expected odds (when you factor in the probability of each boosted odds) are done in such a way that the expected payoff is pretty much exactly the same as a normal bet.

By this, I mean I took the example of:

Odds 11.0, stake £10

So a normal bet that wins returns £110 (£100 in winnings)

The expected odds of the bet and spin are 12.221, but the stake is reduced to £9
So the return from this is £109.989 (£99.989 in winnings)

Even if you assumed matches of 98% I can't see how it is profitable

Edit: on the bet365, I doubt they'll do another one so soon. EVERYONE on another forum I'm on used their free bet at half time on Wales at odds 5.0, and loads will have used Wales as their qualifier. If 5,000 people chose Wales at 5.0 at half time as their risk free bet (not an outrageous figure given how many people matched bet these days, plus your average punter would have Home nation bias), that's 4*50*5000= £1,000,000 I would estimate that they lost from running that deal. Obviously it will be lower factoring in other peoples bets, but Wales winning will have cost them a ****ing ton I reckon.

Unfortunately i didnt do the b365 on friday :/ Did you opt in and did you also put it on Wales or a safe MB?

For the bet and spin, they only do it for specific markets and matches.
I did it on the Germany match on thurs, and chose a draw which was 3/3.1.
If you put £10, you stake £9. If the spin lands on 1, you lose £-1-0.46 = £-1.46
If it lands on 1.5, you win £4.32-1 = £3.32

Overall it's not worth it, just another shjtty marketing practice

Reply 9454

froufroullamas

Hey guys, I started matched betting a month ago and have made £700 profit already! Just wanted to ask if anyone recommended a matched betting website to join? Im currently with oddsmonkey, but was considering maybe trying profit accumulator out? Wanted to know if any of you guys had an opinion on PA since you all sound so experienced haha

Reply 9455