Results!!!

You correctly identify the intertemporal issue yourself: you will not get new grades before applying.
I am confident you will get AAB.2.1 offers. So you can apply to some of the unis above that as bliss unis if you like. and still have the AAB.2.1 unis to fall back on.

atm im thinking of applying like this:

Britol or bath (depending on which i have more of a chance with)<-- sugestions welcome
Exeter
Southampton
Birmingham
Royal Holloway

gd spread? (not sure about exeter tho, any suggestions welcome?) Loughborough a possibility or A&F @ LSE

Why are you thinking of applying to more than 1 uni outside the TAELT top 11?

Why are you thinking of applying to more than 1 uni outside the TAELT top 11?

Showing that you've read a lot of books on your PS looks good doesn't it?
Also, what about being predicted A*'s for A-level Maths and Business Studies?

So am i (almost) guarenteed an offer at all of them except bristol then?

would...

Bristol
Bath
Warwick
Birmingham
Sothampton
...be more sensible?

yes I think so. (2 both questions).

Hi, I’ve talked to my teachers and am likely to be predicted AAB with the B in Geo. Does this mean i have little/no chance at top 11 universities? Should i apply to more from outside the top 11?
(

(or really push for an A prediction in Geography, even though my teacher seems like she’s not budging?)

Ask your target unis.
But dropping Warwick would make sense (no AAA prediction, aabc at AS).In terms of what to add in:
i)a 3rd TAELT position 6-11 uni gives more chance of offer from a top uni.
ii)a 3rd uni outside the top 11 would give more choice from unis likely to give offers.