Can I save myself in third year?

Long story short, I am currently in second year and not achieving the grades I hoped I would. I have had a whole range of personal circumstances which have caused me to fall behind, miss deadlines etc. I was just wondering if there is any hope for me to turn things around and still achieve a 2:1 classification at the end of my degree?

It is looking likely that I will scrape a 2:2 this year 🤦🏼*♀️ my course is weighted at 40% second year and 60% third, which will entail a 10000 word dissertation. Realistically putting the work in, could I still achieve a 2:1 overall, despite ending second year with an average of 51-54%?

At this point, I am just looking for any advice or hope that I can realistically turn things around 😊

Long story short, I am currently in second year and not achieving the grades I hoped I would. I have had a whole range of personal circumstances which have caused me to fall behind, miss deadlines etc. I was just wondering if there is any hope for me to turn things around and still achieve a 2:1 classification at the end of my degree?

It is looking likely that I will scrape a 2:2 this year 🤦🏼*♀️ my course is weighted at 40% second year and 60% third, which will entail a 10000 word dissertation. Realistically putting the work in, could I still achieve a 2:1 overall, despite ending second year with an average of 51-54%?

At this point, I am just looking for any advice or hope that I can realistically turn things around 😊

From a mathematical standpoint, yes. If your final degree score is weighted 40:60 between second and third year, and if we assumes that your "51-54% " means 52.5% (the midpoint), then you overall degree percentage would be given by:
(52.5 * 0.40) + (X * 0.60)
Where X is the unknown, your third year percentage.

For a 2:1, you need the formula above to result in at least 60. We can therefore simply re-arrange it to establish what X needs to be:
(52.5 * 0.40) + (X * 0.60) = 60
21 + (X * 0.60) = 60
X * 0.60 = 60 - 21 = 39
X = 39 / 0.60 = 65

So if you hit at least 65% in third year, you'll get at least 60% overall - a 2:1.

You refer to "a whole range of personal circumstances which have caused me to fall behind, miss deadlines etc." - are those now behind you? Do you have the motivation and ability to average at least 65% during third year? Those are the real questions you need to be asking yourself.

Numerically, if you achieve 52 this year you'll need 65.33 in your final year to get a 2.1. Most unis have alternative methods of classifying degrees if students come up just short of 60 (or 70 etc). These methods usually involve improvement in third year, so a little under 65.33 would probably suffice.

Have you had any marks around that level?