Any statistics on the likelihood of being allocated your preferred college?

Hi, I received my offer in February and ranked my preferences last week. I'm from a very poor family, so I'm worried about being allocated to a pricier, catered college; so is there any way I can find out how likely it is I'll be given my first choice? Thank you x

Hello, there was a document but I can’t remember where I found it. It showed the number of people applying per college and the percentage likelihood of getting each college. Apart from Castle, St Chad’s (2k ish and 45%) most colleges had good rates (Collingwood 67% from memory). For example Van Mildert was 95%. However, one caveat is that people seemed to get their choices (some top 3, some top 8) but then still got reallocated in September which makes that document moot! If you’re looking for self-catering - rank all of the self-catering colleges first and hopefully you’ll get one of those 😊🤞.

Was this the document you were speaking of?
https://www.durham.ac.uk/colleges-and-student-experience/colleges/your-college---undergraduate/college-allocation-statistics---undergraduate/

Was this the document you were speaking of?
https://www.durham.ac.uk/colleges-and-student-experience/colleges/your-college---undergraduate/college-allocation-statistics---undergraduate/

Hello, there was a document but I can’t remember where I found it. It showed the number of people applying per college and the percentage likelihood of getting each college. Apart from Castle, St Chad’s (2k ish and 45%) most colleges had good rates (Collingwood 67% from memory). For example Van Mildert was 95%. However, one caveat is that people seemed to get their choices (some top 3, some top 8) but then still got reallocated in September which makes that document moot! If you’re looking for self-catering - rank all of the self-catering colleges first and hopefully you’ll get one of those 😊🤞.

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Thank you! I have one more question if you don't mind; iirc I'll receive a provisional allocation? Do you know how long (approx) it will be until I get that?