The Student Room Group

Binomial Question

In the chapter we are given the formula P(X=r) = nCr * q^n-r * p^r

1) A recovery ward is a maternity hospital has 6 beds. What is the probability that the mothers there have between them 4 girls and 2 boys?
(Assuming there are no twins and a baby is equally likely to be a girl or boy)

I did n = 6 , r = 2 boys
p = probability of girl = 4/6 = 2/3
q= probability of boy = 2/6 = 1/3

so P(X=2) = 6C2 x (1/3)^6-2 x (2/3)^2
= 6C2 x (1/3)^4 x (2/3)^2
=0.08 or 20/243
however the answer says 15/64 so I don't know how to do it, please help!
(edited 3 years ago)
Reply 1
Original post by Mia 15
In the chapter we are given the formula P(X=r) = nCr * q^n-r * p^r

1) A recovery ward is a maternity hospital has 6 beds. What is the probability that the mothers there have between them 4 girls and 2 boys?
(Assuming there are no twins and a baby is equally likely to be a girl or boy)

I did n = 6 , r = 2 boys
p = probability of girl = 4/6 = 2/3
q= probability of boy = 2/6 = 1/3

so P(X=2) = 6C2 x (1/3)^6-2 x (2/3)^2
= 6C2 x (1/3)^4 x (2/3)^2
=0.08 or 20/243
however the answer says 15/64 so I don't know how to do it, please help!

If boy / girl are equally likely, what is p?
It is not dependent on the numbers 4,2. They are represented by the exponents in the binomial distribution.
(edited 3 years ago)
Reply 2
Original post by mqb2766

It is not dependent on the numbers 4,2. They are represented by the exponents in the binomial distribution.

ohh thanks, so p and q are 0.5? how do I know what r is?
Reply 3
Original post by Mia 15
ohh thanks, so p and q are 0.5? how do I know what r is?

You could use r=2 or 4 as p=q=0.5.
Reply 4
Original post by mqb2766
You could use r=2 or 4 as p=q=0.5.

ohh okay thank you :smile:
Reply 5
Original post by Mia 15
ohh okay thank you :smile:

A slightly better response would be you'd have r cases with probability p and (n-r) cases with probability q (1-p). Just match it with the exponents in the binomial distribution.
Reply 6
Original post by mqb2766
if boy / girl are equally likely, what is p?
It is not dependent on the numbers 4,2. They are represented by the exponents in the binomial distribution.


200c1(0.01)^1(0.99)^199 = 0.271

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