Some schools have higher boundaries. Last year, my school predicted 225/240 for a 9 but it was actually 189. Probably a similar case in your school. School boundaries will rise this year - last year's cohort began learning the new spec in year 10/11 ish but since you guys started in year 9 and teachers are more familiar with it, national performance will increase leading me to think it may be around 205-ish for a 9.