Hull are gone. They have 7 points from 18 games and still have to play 4 of the top 6 away, will be amazed if they don't finish 20th
Swansea look in a real mess as well and need significant investment in January or they're down too. Last spot is anyone's guess. Sunderland awful and struggling with lots of injuries, Palace can't win a game, Boro can't score goals, Burnley lose every away game and Watford are in freefall.
As it stands i'd say Sunderland, Swansea and Hull but the transfer window may change things.