im making a fortune sports gambling but what should i do with life? Will bookies ban.

UN*******BELIEVABLE!!!!

Believe it or not tryng to make a million in a season is rather tricky even if you have a big bank to play with.

For one thing you need a lot of markets with big limits that are easy to trade.

Year after year one of the easiest markets to make money from is the Champions League top scorer market.

But this season Messi's injury meant that Ronaldos price was ridiculously short and the situation was almost impossible for me to make much money from.


Until last night!

When brilliant Barca scored 6 and Lewandowski and Muller scored thus forcing Ronaldos price up to a juicy 15/8.


So I was just about to do some bets on this new Ronaldo price having spent a leisurely early afternoon ( it's a tough job but.....) reading the Racing Post,posting on here and reading a book when I find that the market is bloody well suspended because some ******* game has kicked off at 3-00 PM!!!!!!!!!!!!!


3-PM on a Wednesday!!!


As I say ....it's not easy making a million.........

But of course his price changed, as it's going to be harder for him to become top scorer now as a few people have scored more.

Had to read that a couple of times as I wasn't 100% sure what you're saying.But hopefully I havnt misunderstood.

Yes of course you are right to say that "of course his price changed " and the reason why it changed.

But the point is the following day Real Madrid were playing an inferior team and Ronaldo can usually be relied on to score in those games- in Europe anyway.

Thus I could have bet on him at 15-8 and ,

a) if he didn't score v Shaktar ( or whoever) that 15/8 price either doesn't change or goes out slightly to 2/1

b) he scores 1 goal in which case his price comes down to say 6/4

c ) he scores 2 or more goals and his price is slashed.


As we now know he scored twice and his price was cut to 4/7.


In other words I missed an opportunity* by not realising a game was kicking off.


Sorry if that's not what you meant.



* It's not ideal but I did in fact bet on him scoring 2 goals or more in the game itself at odds of 10-3 in various accumulators. NB I did it for 'insurance' reasons as ideally I only wanted him to score once as I am hoping to make money on this market by betting on other players and hoping one of them wins it.

But all this was factored into the price, like the price was the price because of these things.... if he scores it comes down, if he doesn't it goes up.

I just don't get what you think you know what the bookies/traders/market makers don't/

The bubble will burst eventually. Least it's sport's betting and not fixed-odds/high octane gambling like roulette or slots.

I believe honesty is important ( unless you've murdered someone and hidden the body rather well) and so let me tell you that my bubble may well burst.

But only because in an effort to prove that this is the best way to bet on football I sail very very close to the wind.

I try to bet at the very limit of what I think is possible.

Cheers

haha, how old are you btw? How long have you been doing this full time for a living? What is your total profit over this time.

I'm genuinely interested because if everything you say is legit then it's pretty damn good, regardless of whether any of us have faith in the system.

That's good, know your limits and stick to them.

I play roulette occasionally and have in the past made small fortunes. However I don't recommend it as you lose more than you win.

That's good, know your limits and stick to them.

I play roulette occasionally and have in the past made small fortunes. However I don't recommend it as you lose more than you win.

Between you and me I once lost £120,000* in 2 weeks playing a poker related game on betfair.


Needless to say nowadays the only reason I play casino games is in order to help convince bookies I'm not a professional gambler.Ha.



* It would be a big mistake for anyone to think that because I have said this it means the stuff I'm saying about football is likely to be nonsense.


At the time I wanted to write the greatest ever gambling book and so I 'invested' some of the money I made from football betting in other areas.

Edit Not to mention the fact that my mother was dying.

Hard to believe this considering I've known people to be sports gubbed after being only £30 up. Care to provide any supporting screenshots?

How much is the 120k relative to winnings?
That's a lot to lose.

Well I've already said that I'm between £500,000 and £1 million up from football betting.


And I will be very very disconsolate if at the end of this season I can't claim to be £1 million plus up overall from football betting.


As regards the £120,000 I actually recovered most of it in a manner of speaking.

That money came from money that I would have bet on my long term football bets.

Yes yes it was a potentially disastrous loss because I didn't have enough money left to cover my various football bets that I had already made.

However....to cut a very long very dramatic story short......at the end of that season ( 2008-9 ?) I landed what was at the time my biggest ever win from a single bet,£221,000.

The point being that ordinarily I would have used at least £60,000 of the £120,000 to hedge that winning bet.

Wow. Very nice. Are there good information sources (to read up) to get good at what you do?

I'm rather skeptical of claims like this in honesty. Any screen shots?

No there aren't good information sources about this.

That's the whole point.

You are absolutely right to be skeptical

Let's be clear. If I am right then almost everything you read about football betting on the Internet and in books is wrong or very misleading.

And that's one of the reasons I don't want to show* anything that might convince too many of the wrong people.ie because it would likely shake up the world of football betting too much

* not yet anyway

But you see there's a very very easy way for you to find out yourself!

But all this was factored into the price, like the price was the price because of these things.... if he scores it comes down, if he doesn't it goes up.

I just don't get what you think you know what the bookies/traders/market makers don't/

Fair enough! Thanks for the insight. I will one day look into betting. Interested in it at a behavioral academic level - but never tried it myself.

I don't know anything about football unfortunately, but I'm sure they do loads of different things.

The thing I don't understand is that they most likely have very intelligent statisticians working for them which sets the value of bets to be in their favor (not sure to what extent, but yeah). Surely all of the meaningful information is already factored in - so there is nothing to really gain from putting the bet on - apart from mere chance of winning.

Stock markets seem more of a controlled type of betting I just don't understand how its possible to really play bookies on statistics.