Predicted Grade Boundaries for Maths GCSE 2017!!

Now that the papers are designed to have 50% of their content at grades 7-9, rather than the old spec which had 25% of marks at grades A-A*, might it not be reasonable to suggest that the marks needed for grade 7 would be a little under 50%? Why? Well on the old spec the mark needed for grade A was about 70% (compared with the 75% of marks available for questions below grade A.) So working with this figure and assuming candidates this year will be similar to those in previous years, we should not expect to have to get any grade 7-9 marks to achieve grade 7. That means I'd start looking for the grade 7 boundary around 47%.

Reply 63

s4b3rt00th

11

Original post by NigNog

That means I'd start looking for the grade 7 boundary around 47%.

in your dreams.

Spoiler

Reply 64

Original post by s4b3rt00th

in your dreams.

Spoiler

We will see in august, if it's wrong.

Reply 65

s4b3rt00th

11

Original post by NigNog

We will see in august, if it's wrong.

use the unofficial mark scheme and mathsgenie (http://www.mathsgenie.co.uk/gcse.html) to figure out where the each grade starts at each paper.

(edited 6 years ago)

Reply 66

Original post by NigNog

Now that the papers are designed to have 50% of their content at grades 7-9, rather than the old spec which had 25% of marks at grades A-A*, might it not be reasonable to suggest that the marks needed for grade 7 would be a little under 50%? Why? Well on the old spec the mark needed for grade A was about 70% (compared with the 75% of marks available for questions below grade A.) So working with this figure and assuming candidates this year will be similar to those in previous years, we should not expect to have to get any grade 7-9 marks to achieve grade 7. That means I'd start looking for the grade 7 boundary around 47%.

This is what I personally think

9 = 85%
8 = 57%
7 = 47%
6 = 40%
5 = 33%
4= 20%

This is because there's a f ucking major gap between achievable students and people who struggle with Maths. So the grades for 8/9 are much more spread out

Reply 67

Original post by s4b3rt00th

use the unofficial mark scheme and mathsgenie (http://www.mathsgenie.co.uk/gcse.html) to figure out where the each grade starts at each paper.

What do you think grade boundaries are? btw i have used these boundaries from a teacher, who's gone of a basis off near enough all the schools in my county, mostly private schools with exception of a few grammar schools

Reply 68

s4b3rt00th

11

Original post by NigNog

What do you think grade boundaries are? btw i have used these boundaries from a teacher, who's gone of a basis off near enough all the schools in my county, mostly private schools with exception of a few grammar schools

i'm aiming for a grade 7 so i'm only going to predict this one. grade 7, i believe, will be around 60-70%.

(edited 6 years ago)

Reply 69

Original post by B0redBrioche

I think it went really well!! I got 78-79/ 80 I think so I've got a chance for a 9 with about 212/240!! How about you?

PLease just shut up

Reply 70

Original post by B0redBrioche

Ah that should definitely be a 9 for you well done!! The lowest on Paper 1 I think i could get is 70, Paper 2- I failed and my mind went blank so around 62 lowest, and for Paper 3 78 lowest which totals up to 210. Hopefully enough :redface:

Lol watch you guys get level 2's on results days

Reply 71

Original post by sharokh123

i got 28/80 in my mock and got a 7 the boundries should be very low

you know those aren't the real grade boundaries right?

Reply 72

Original post by Shanicebob

We was told 54 should be a 4 overall then 72 a 5 and 108 6 120 a 7 etc Ive only got about 60 so worried I won't make the 4

No one knwos what the grade boundaries are, you can't predict them because it's all on a percentage scale so depending on how everyone else did shows how you did, not immediate number will show a grade,

Reply 73

gerib17

17

Higher
The boundaries will have to be low in order to steadily increase them over the years. And seeing as half of the exams questions will be grades 7-9 they'll have to be low. Considering the fact that Ofqual are keeping the proportion of students passing the same as last year then they'll have to keep them lower. Also only 3% of the population so around (700,000) will obtain grade 9. 3% of 700,000 is 21,000. 21,000 will get grade 9 in Maths regardless of different exam boards.

Grade 4 = 85 marks
Grade 5 = 112 marks
Grade 6 = 135 marks
Grade 7 = 157 marks
Grade 8 = 176 marks
Grade 9 = 205 marks

(edited 6 years ago)

Reply 74

Gabzinc

Original post by gerib17

Higher
The boundaries will have to be low in order to steadily increase them over the years. And seeing as half of the exams questions will be grades 7-9 they'll have to be low. Considering the fact that Ofqual are keeping the proportion of students passing the same as last year then they'll have to keep them lower. Also only 3% of the population so around (700,000) will obtain grade 9. 3% of 700,000 is 21,000. 21,000 will get grade 9 in Maths regardless of different exam boards.

Grade 4 = 85 marks
Grade 5 = 112 marks
Grade 6 = 135 marks
Grade 7 = 157 marks
Grade 8 = 176 marks
Grade 9 = 205 marks

The information you gave contradicts your grade boundaries - 7 is (supposedly) too high, and should be lowered from 157 to somewhere like 125-130. Then, we can move the boundaries around a bit, e.g (THIS IS JUST A PREDICTION)

Grade 4 - 60
Grade 5 - 80
Grade 6 - 110
Grade 7 - 130
Grade 8 - 160
Grade 9 - 190 - 195 - 200 (really don't see it going above 200, max at 204)

Reply 75

gerib17

17

Original post by Gabzinc

The information you gave contradicts your grade boundaries - 7 is (supposedly) too high, and should be lowered from 157 to somewhere like 125-130. Then, we can move the boundaries around a bit, e.g (THIS IS JUST A PREDICTION)

Grade 4 - 60
Grade 5 - 80
Grade 6 - 110
Grade 7 - 130
Grade 8 - 160
Grade 9 - 190 - 195 - 200 (really don't see it going above 200, max at 204)

I see what you're saying but there is the odd few who will get in the 200s and they will therefore make up the x% of those who will get grade 9 which has been stated to be 3% of students which will do so.

Reply 76

JammieDodger27

190/240 for a 9 is a joke.

Reply 77

Aeternit Imperi

2

Original post by Gabzinc

The information you gave contradicts your grade boundaries - 7 is (supposedly) too high, and should be lowered from 157 to somewhere like 125-130. Then, we can move the boundaries around a bit, e.g (THIS IS JUST A PREDICTION)

Grade 4 - 60
Grade 5 - 80
Grade 6 - 110
Grade 7 - 130
Grade 8 - 160
Grade 9 - 190 - 195 - 200 (really don't see it going above 200, max at 204)

Increase each of those grades by 5-10 and that's the most realistic you'll get.

Reply 78

JammieDodger27

I have heard arguments that exams boards want to make a profit so will make grade boundaries lower and that exam boards will want to increase grade boundaries in future so they will make grade boundaries lower. I'd just like to clarify that both of these arguments are wrong. Grade boundaries will be based solely off statistics.

The top 3% will be awarded a grade 9. The percentage who used to get an A will then be awarded a grade 7 (About 20%). They will then take these two grade boundaries, find the midpoint and that will be the grade boundary for a grade 8. The percentage who get a C will then be awarded a grade 4 (About 70%).

Reply 79

Gabzinc