Original post by threeportdriftSo I will explain the admissions challenge once again, to try and allay fears and reduce cases of 'refreshers wrist'. The example below has hypothetical numbers and is the general approach most Masters courses take, and PhDs unless directed otherwise by DTPs, funders etc.
Your course wants to recruit the 30 best applicants (above a very high benchmark, if it doesn't get 30, it will not lower the baseiine, it will offer places to a course that has more deserving borderline cases).
It will get about 300 applications submitted in an approximate bell curve (numbers, not quality) from September to April, peaking around January.
With the target of 'best 30' and an applicant to place ratio of 10:1 and no pattern to timing of the quality of applications, the only effective response it to be cautious about making early decisions until the peak of applications in January is passed, and you have a good view of the overall quality of the applicant pool this year.
So, they reject people who have no hope of making the cut immediately. They make offers to people who would make the top 30 whatever the rest of the applicant pool looked like - but there are very few of these ( I have to say, I'm ignoring the over-offer rate, they make offers to about 60 to get 30, because of people taking up other offers or not finding funding, the ratio varies by course, but they know it to about 3 decimal places).
So if you applied in November and haven't heard anything, it's because you weren't too dreadful to reject immediately, but you weren't so amazing they'd make an offer regardless of the future applications. You are in the mix.
Then in becomes an iterative process, if you are at the department stage, then the academic who read your file and advised to keep hold of it is constantly comparing and contrasting your application with new applications, you'll either get a rejection if you sink down their rating, or eventually if you keep bobbing at the top and they think your application is going to be in the 'best 30', you'll get advanced to the Degree Committee.
The Degree Committee only usually holds on to applications for as long as it takes to meet, ie it batches and empties, batches and empties. At the Degree Committee they generally follow the department's recommendations of an offer, but they also benchmark across the degree programmes they manage. So if one programme says it's getting an excellent pool of applications and wants to make 32 offers, and another says theirs is so-so and they could fill with 28 and not lose anything, they might vire across some places and that will cause a few more offers to be made on the stronger course, and fewer on the weaker course.
So the time it takes to progress between stages and the overall timing is relatively meaningless. It's primarily a function of the rate of application, the availability and 'mulling over skills of the academic your file is sent to, the timing of the degree committee and the quality of applicants in that pool for that year.