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Brexit

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Original post by nulli tertius
"We need to deliver a smooth and orderly departure from the European Union and forge a deep and special partnership with our friends and allies across Europe"

That statement justifies almost anything including not leaving for so long as our departure would not be smooth and orderly.

I don't agree. Departure must be smooth and orderly but they also have to deliver a departure. If they believe that they cannot deliver a departure without it being rough and disorderly, they cannot deliver the manifesto and on a point of this magnitude that should result in a new manifesto and a new election.
Original post by Observatory
I don't agree. Departure must be smooth and orderly but they also have to deliver a departure. If they believe that they cannot deliver a departure without it being rough and disorderly, they cannot deliver the manifesto and on a point of this magnitude that should result in a new manifesto and a new election.


Governments never decide that they cannot attain their manifesto objectives until those objectives have been politically superseded. Until that point their objectives are just postponed.

How are we doing on meeting the five economic tests for joining the Euro?
Original post by nulli tertius
Governments never decide that they cannot attain their manifesto objectives until those objectives have been politically superseded. Until that point their objectives are just postponed.

How are we doing on meeting the five economic tests for joining the Euro?


Of course they do - look at Ted Heath. It's obviously not a good outcome for them and one they try to avoid but nonetheless it can and does happen.
Original post by Observatory
That might be a reasonable position if there hadn't been a fresh election last year. The Conservative-DUP coalition does have a mandate to deliver Brexit having pledged to do so in their manifestos.


It’s a minority government so it’s my belief that there isn’t a real mandate for either party.
Original post by JackBrook
It’s a minority government so it’s my belief that there isn’t a real mandate for either party.


The Labour Party also had a manifesto commitment to deliver Brexit in 2017.
Original post by Observatory
The Labour Party also had a manifesto commitment to deliver Brexit in 2017.


The Labour Party also doesn’t have a mandate.
Original post by JackBrook
The Labour Party also doesn’t have a mandate.


We don't elect parties. We elect MPs and governments are appointed by the crown. The government committed to deliver Brexit and that commitment is supported by an overwhelming majority of MPs - far more than actually support the government.
Original post by Observatory
We don't elect parties. We elect MPs and governments are appointed by the crown. The government committed to deliver Brexit and that commitment is supported by an overwhelming majority of MPs - far more than actually support the government.


Delivering Brexit in some form, has a slight majority. That’s nothing new (2016 Referendum cleared that up). But the Tory version of Brexit doesn’t have a mandate with the public and so far has not really been supported in the elected Parliament.
Original post by JackBrook
Delivering Brexit in some form, has a slight majority. That’s nothing new (2016 Referendum cleared that up). But the Tory version of Brexit doesn’t have a mandate with the public and so far has not really been supported in the elected Parliament.


There is an overwhelming majority in parliament in support of Brexit in some form and a slight majority in parliament support of the crown's appointed government determining that form.
Original post by Observatory
There is an overwhelming majority in parliament in support of Brexit in some form and a slight majority in parliament support of the crown's appointed government determining that form.


I don’t agree - I think that a majority do not want a hard Brexit.
Original post by JackBrook
I don’t agree - I think that a majority do not want a hard Brexit.


"Hard Brexit" means whatever the speaker wishes it to mean.

Today the remnants of Remain are trying to portray Brexit as essentially harmless, hijacked by extremists into something dangerous. But during the campaign much of what Remain is now calling "hard Brexit" they just called "Brexit", and even more besides that.

Do you remember when Remain told us that "Brexit" would result in refugees invading through the channel tunnel, World War Three, and the end of Western civilisation?
Original post by Observatory
"Hard Brexit" means whatever the speaker wishes it to mean.

Today the remnants of Remain are trying to portray Brexit as essentially harmless, hijacked by extremists into something dangerous. But during the campaign much of what Remain is now calling "hard Brexit" they just called "Brexit", and even more besides that.

Do you remember when Remain told us that "Brexit" would result in refugees invading through the channel tunnel, World War Three, and the end of Western civilisation?


Alright I’ll bite. Clearly a hard Brexit is leaving the Single Market, Customs Union and a hard border in Northern Ireland.

None of that stuff was championed by Leave was it? And a minority Government for the tories pretty much shows that there’s no public mandate for it.

Obviously I’m talking to someone who wants to see hard Brexit delivered so you’ll always fight the corner that there’s totally a mandate for it. I just see things differently.
Original post by JackBrook
Alright I’ll bite. Clearly a hard Brexit is leaving the Single Market, Customs Union and a hard border in Northern Ireland.

None of that stuff was championed by Leave was it? And a minority Government for the tories pretty much shows that there’s no public mandate for it.

Obviously I’m talking to someone who wants to see hard Brexit delivered so you’ll always fight the corner that there’s totally a mandate for it. I just see things differently.


Remain told me that if I voted Brexit, Western civilisation would end. So do not tell me that my vote does not provide a mandate for a 1% contraction in GDP.
Reply 73
Original post by Observatory
Remain told me that if I voted Brexit, Western civilisation would end. So do not tell me that my vote does not provide a mandate for a 1% contraction in GDP.


Well, good to see at least one voter getting what they wanted from Brexit.
Original post by Observatory
Remain told me that if I voted Brexit, Western civilisation would end. So do not tell me that my vote does not provide a mandate for a 1% contraction in GDP.


Not sure where you come to the conclusion that ‘Remain’ was arguing that Brexit was the end of the world.

Your single vote was not a mandate for any ‘type’ of Brexit
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Original post by JackBrook
Not sure where you come to the conclusion that ‘Remain’ was arguing that Brexit was the end of the world.

Your single vote was not a mandate for any ‘type’ of Brexit


Remain's continuation argument is based on the implication that the referendum was about some version of Brexit that didn't actually involve withdrawal from many of the EU's core institutions.

Remain was in fact very clear at the time, when they were trying to frighten people with the magnitude of what might happen, that the consequences of Brexit would be extreme and catastrophic.

David Cameron, as leader of the Remain campaign, was clear that if Leave won he would remain as PM to oversee withdrawal via Article 50 (another lie) which as we know carries the possibility of withdrawal by default from all EU institutions.

Simply by not causing increased unemployment or a recession before the terms have been decided, Brexit has already in fact been far softer than Remain said it would be during the campaign. Remain has to retcon its whole referendum campaign to accuse government of acting without a mandate.

What Remain is proposing as "soft Brexit" today is almost identical to David Cameron's "renegotiation" (anyone remember that?) which was exactly the Remain position during the referendum.
(edited 5 years ago)
Original post by Observatory
Remain's continuation argument is based on the implication that the referendum was about some version of Brexit that didn't actually involve withdrawal from many of the EU's core institutions.

Remain was in fact very clear at the time, when they were trying to frighten people with the magnitude of what might happen, that the consequences of Brexit would be extreme and catastrophic.

David Cameron, as leader of the Remain campaign, was clear that if Leave won he would remain as PM to oversee withdrawal via Article 50 (another lie) which as we know carries the possibility of withdrawal by default from all EU institutions.

Simply by not causing increased unemployment or a recession before the terms have been decided, Brexit has already in fact been far softer than Remain said it would be during the campaign. Remain has to retcon its whole referendum campaign to accuse government of acting without a mandate.

What Remain is proposing as "soft Brexit" today is almost identical to David Cameron's "renegotiation" (anyone remember that?) which was exactly the Remain position during the referendum.


I’m sorry but the pictures painted by the Leave Campaigns before the referendum were of a partnership in which we got uninterrupted access to the SM and CU.

That is largely what people voted for (along with the hogwash £350m per week for the NHS - which is also not happening).

I’m not saying we should re-run 2016. But a minority government does not have the mandate deliver a Brexit where these things are off the table.

I accept that you will disagree because you’re probably one of the minority that did vote for TM and that does want Brexit at any cost, and I understand that you have your reasons for that (even if I think they are misguided).

Please try to understand where I am coming from.
Original post by JackBrook
I’m sorry but the pictures painted by the Leave Campaigns before the referendum were of a partnership in which we got uninterrupted access to the SM and CU.

Even if this is true (and I don't believe it, membership of the customs union in particular is totally incompatible with an independent trade policy) it is irrelevant: Remain was allowed to say that this was all wrong and that the consequences would be terrible and they did so. They said the consequences would be far worse than they in fact have been, or are likely to be. The people rejected Remain's argument.

That is largely what people voted for (along with the hogwash £350m per week for the NHS - which is also not happening).

You go on and on and on and on and on and on about the goddamn bus because you have literally nothing else. Again, you guys stopped one inch from predicting the end of the world and your counterargument is that the bus said 350 when it should have said 150.

I’m not saying we should re-run 2016. But a minority government does not have the mandate deliver a Brexit where these things are off the table.

I accept that you will disagree because you’re probably one of the minority that did vote for TM and that does want Brexit at any cost, and I understand that you have your reasons for that (even if I think they are misguided).

Please try to understand where I am coming from.

I joined the Conservative Party on June 24th to vote for anyone other than May in the leadership election they never had. Theresa May is a timid Europhile who campaigned for Remain.
"By the next election, the UK will leave the EU’s ‘common commercial policy’, taking back the power to strike its own free trade agreements. The UK will also take back its seat on the World Trade Organization and other international bodies, becoming a more influential force for free trade and friendly cooperation."

http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/briefing.html

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