How likely am I to receive an offer?

No chance sorry, you didnt do bronze DoFE you're cooked. Ok ahaha jokes aside, the universities you have mentioned are very competitive and if you haven't gotten rejected yet, there's a chance, UCL you have up till 11th march really to know if you got shortlisted for the STAT or not, Durham it will be an outright rejection or acceptance same with Bath now you just wait, Im in the same boat also applied computer science put a whole bunch of things in my personal statement, waiting on UCL and durham, have seen plenty of people with higher stats than me get rejected from durham already for computer science, so my hopes arent too high but until there is a rejection there is always a chance, just sit back and relax and prepare to smash those A levels regardless of the outcomes you get

registration of STAT starts from march 11th so I just assumed that's the last date you may be right though, the only official message is invitations from February onwards but lets see what happens

idk i just thought more of it as, since this is one you can prepare for like giving people invitations after opening of registration gives them less preparation time, disadvantaging them but who knows, you just wait and you find out

hey managed to get the stat invite for ucl, wbu?

yup today me and my friend got it

yh seems like a lot of ppl are getting it, do you know the %

congrats op for your invite, im not panic af becuz i haven't heard anything, does your ucl portal changes if you had an invite, I got A*A*A* A for FM Math CS and Physics, i thought my PS was decent but I didn't hear anything from them