The Student Room Group

Would you give Labour a chance in 2020?

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Original post by xxvine
Surely the sun won't switch and jarvis doesn't seem to be a blairite.


Jarvis seems more right wing socially (more anti immigration) and protectionist economically, as well as being ex military which may well appeal more to the working class. It would certainly give Labour more chance of attracting UKIPy type voters, the stereotypical Sun readers.

He may not get their support but papers like the Sun would not be able to play the anti-patriotism card they often do with Labour leaders.
(edited 8 years ago)
Original post by Bornblue
Jarvis seems more right wing socially (more anti immigration) and protectionist economically, as well as being ex military which may well appeal more to the working class. It would certainly give Labour more chance of attracting UKIPy type voters, the stereotypical sun readers.

He may not get their support but papers like the Sun would not be able to play the anti-patriotism card they often do with Labour leaders.


Yeah I find that so silly why they always do that

every labour leader hates Britain lol

Will be interesting to see though anyway how the press endorse him if he ever becomes labour leader.
Original post by xxvine
Yeah I find that so silly why they always do that

every labour leader hates Britain lol

Will be interesting to see though anyway how the press endorse him if he ever becomes labour leader.

He'd also have the support of the PLP behind him and no links to unfavorable Islamic groups that Corbyn does.

Especially with the tories being disunited and not that popular themselves. Jarvis is nothing spectacular but he could give the tories quite a lot to think about.
Original post by Bornblue
He'd also have the support of the PLP behind him and no links to unfavorable Islamic groups that Corbyn does.

Especially with the tories being disunited and not that popular themselves. Jarvis is nothing spectacular but he could give the tories quite a lot to think about.


Problem with DJ is nobody knows much about to judge if he is good or not.

also are those things with corbyn even true?
Original post by XMaramena
Perhaps his policies on - you guessed it - expanding and strengthening our armed forces with a minimum of £2 bn a year, by taking the money spent on Trident and putting into troops on the ground. As a member of NATO, and an additional treaty with the US, we have hundreds of nuclear missiles already acting as a deterrent in the UK's favour. Cameron wants to spend £100 billion on new nukes when we effectively have more than enough anyway. Corbyn wants to spend £100 billion on strengthening the real armed forces. Not a last resort apocalypse-bringer big red button (because that's all it is - as soon as we start sending nukes out, you can pretty much kiss your arse beddy bye bye time!), but an immediate, measurable strength, an actual show of force and expansion of our military.


No, the reason Trident is being replaced isn't because we need new nukes, it's because the current systems are soon to be obsolete, if we have obsolete systems for our nukes, then they are no longer a deterrent as they could be effectively countered.
Original post by xxvine
Problem with DJ is nobody knows much about to judge if he is good or not.

also are those things with corbyn even true?

I think Corbyn has involved himself with some very questionable Islamic groups. Calling Hamas 'friends' even in a diplomatic sense was not acceptable. It's okay to be left wing but he needs to further distance himself from certain groups.
Unlike Cameron's love of Saudi Arabia though, Corbyn doesn't have enough friends in the press to get away with it.

No doubt the media and the tory party over-exaggerate such links though, just like they did with the 'Corbyn not bowing', despite the fact he was the only party leader to stay behind after the service and speak to the veterans while Cameron and co went off for lunch. But that for some reason didn't make front page news...

However it doesn't really matter if they are true or not, people believe it. And perception is more important than reality.

Labour need a leader with no obvious baggage. I can't see any on Dan Jarvis. He's not some spectacular, Obama type candidate but he's solid, young, ex military and looks fairly normal. Decent speaker too.
(edited 8 years ago)
Original post by Farchitect
No, the reason Trident is being replaced isn't because we need new nukes, it's because the current systems are soon to be obsolete, if we have obsolete systems for our nukes, then they are no longer a deterrent as they could be effectively countered.


You've got to think though, given that North Korea are already threatening to use nukes, and the unthinkable situation in which ISIS grab a stronghold, will trident really be a deterrent anymore?
Original post by Bornblue
I think Corbyn has involved himself with some very questionable Islamic groups. Calling Hamas 'friends' even in a diplomatic sense was not acceptable. It's okay to be left wing but he needs to further distance himself from certain groups.
Unlike Cameron's love of Saudi Arabia though, Corbyn doesn't have enough friends in the press to get away with it.

No doubt the media and the tory party over-exaggerate such links though, just like they did with the 'Corbyn not bowing', despite the fact he was the only party leader to stay behind after the service and speak to the veterans while Cameron and co went off for lunch. But that for some reason didn't make front page news...

However it doesn't really matter if they are true or not, people believe it. And perception is more important than reality.

Labour need a leader with no obvious baggage. I can't see any on Dan Jarvis. He's not some spectacular, Obama type candidate but he's solid, young, ex military and looks fairly normal. Decent speaker too.


Pretty much this. I can see i've rubbed off on you :wink:
Original post by Bornblue
Agreed. I think jarvis could be very effective. Could even see the sun supporting him.

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Murdoch will support whoever he thinks will win, there's no real alliance or ideology behind his endorsements beyond that.
Original post by Davij038
Pretty much this. I can see i've rubbed off on you :wink:


Aye. I think after the election I certainly got carried away (although I still didn't vote in the leadership election).
However, seeing what the tories are doing to local government, the NHS, the disabled, trade unions etc it's made me realise that even an 'impure' Labour is vastly more preferable to the tories.

I don't think Corbyn is bad man, he's not an extremist, Bin laden, britain hating anti-semite.
He's genuinely a lovely, honest and decent man, an excellent MP. But he's not fit to be party leader.

As I said, it doesn't matter what is true, what matters is perception and the perception on Corbyn at the moment is awful. I do think the press are hugely influential but you're right in that you need to play with the cards you are dealt, rather than complaining in vein for a new deck

If that means moving to the right on certain issues such as immigration and benefits, then perhaps its a price worth paying to oust the tories.
Original post by Rakas21
Murdoch will support whoever he thinks will win, there's no real alliance or ideology behind his endorsements beyond that.


Disagree, he has his own business interests. In 1992, when it looked like Kinnock would win, the Sun came out heavily in favour of the tories. I don't want to get into a big debate about Murdoch's influence though.
Original post by Farchitect
No, the reason Trident is being replaced isn't because we need new nukes, it's because the current systems are soon to be obsolete, if we have obsolete systems for our nukes, then they are no longer a deterrent as they could be effectively countered.


We don't need new systems. We already effectively have hundreds of nukes elsewhere, with perfectly up to date systems.
Original post by XMaramena
We don't need new systems. We already effectively have hundreds of nukes elsewhere, with perfectly up to date systems.


What are you talking about?
Original post by Bornblue
Aye. I think after the election I certainly got carried away (although I still didn't vote in the leadership election).
However, seeing what the tories are doing to local government, the NHS, the disabled, trade unions etc it's made me realise that even an 'impure' Labour is vastly more preferable to the tories.

I don't think Corbyn is bad man, he's not an extremist, Bin laden, britain hating anti-semite.
He's genuinely a lovely, honest and decent man, an excellent MP. But he's not fit to be party leader.

As I said, it doesn't matter what is true, what matters is perception and the perception on Corbyn at the moment is awful. I do think the press are hugely influential but you're right in that you need to play with the cards you are dealt, rather than complaining in vein for a new deck

If that means moving to the right on certain issues such as immigration and benefits, then perhaps its a price worth paying to oust the tories.


Not even somebody as cynical as me is all about PR, i think there does need to be an element of truth to proceedings, its simply that for the populist left and right issues are completely black or white (but will change reality to fit their perceptions) notice how people that backed ed miliband later complained he was 'tory-lite'.

what's hilarious/ rage-inducing is that for all of Corbyns/McDonnell bluster for change they've ultimately changed nothing apart from having a leader looked on far less favourably than Ed Miliband.



John McDonnell has today given a speech which copied parts of Liz Kendall's campaign material. Oh, and has put forward policies pretty much identical to Ed Ball's. Bloody Red Tory Traitor.

But hey, Jezza himself used a speech turned down by every leader since Blair and seemingly approved letting Damian Mcbride back into the party. Christ, that's like Cameron letting Coulson back in.

Corbyn is probably a nice guy, if hopelessly naive but the Corbynite 'Momentum' when you get down to it is essentially as hollow as New Labour, but unlike New Labour its not capable of winning elections.
Original post by Davij038
Not even somebody as cynical as me is all about PR, i think there does need to be an element of truth to proceedings, its simply that for the populist left and right issues are completely black or white (but will change reality to fit their perceptions) notice how people that backed ed miliband later complained he was 'tory-lite'.

what's hilarious/ rage-inducing is that for all of Corbyns/McDonnell bluster for change they've ultimately changed nothing apart from having a leader looked on far less favourably than Ed Miliband.



John McDonnell has today given a speech which copied parts of Liz Kendall's campaign material. Oh, and has put forward policies pretty much identical to Ed Ball's. Bloody Red Tory Traitor.

But hey, Jezza himself used a speech turned down by every leader since Blair and seemingly approved letting Damian Mcbride back into the party. Christ, that's like Cameron letting Coulson back in.

Corbyn is probably a nice guy, if hopelessly naive but the Corbynite 'Momentum' when you get down to it is essentially as hollow as New Labour, but unlike New Labour its not capable of winning elections.


Jarvis yesterday distanced himself from new labour and Corbyn. I just hope they get rid before it's too late.

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Original post by Bornblue
Aye. I think after the election I certainly got carried away (although I still didn't vote in the leadership election).
However, seeing what the tories are doing to local government, the NHS, the disabled, trade unions etc it's made me realise that even an 'impure' Labour is vastly more preferable to the tories.

I don't think Corbyn is bad man, he's not an extremist, Bin laden, britain hating anti-semite.
He's genuinely a lovely, honest and decent man, an excellent MP. But he's not fit to be party leader.

As I said, it doesn't matter what is true, what matters is perception and the perception on Corbyn at the moment is awful. I do think the press are hugely influential but you're right in that you need to play with the cards you are dealt, rather than complaining in vein for a new deck

If that means moving to the right on certain issues such as immigration and benefits, then perhaps its a price worth paying to oust the tories.

Wait are you a tory or labour supporter?
Yes.
Original post by Davij038
Oh, and has put forward policies pretty much identical to Ed Ball's. Bloody Red Tory Traitor.


They aren't pretty much identical to Ed Balls' policies. Firstly, Labour under Corbyn isn't going to make spending cuts that harm low and middle-income people, which Labour were going to do. So, the fact that they don't accept that they ought to make any spending cuts is a clear difference between Labour under Miliband and Labour under Corbyn (and a good improvement, given that, as economists have been trying to inform us for six years now, we don't need to make spending cuts).

Secondly, as an article in the New Statesman points out:

McDonnell has made a significant change to the “rules” followed both by Brown pre-2008 and devised by Ed Balls under the Ed Miliband leadership. His are the first set of fiscal rules that include a contingency plan for severe crisis.

Thus McDonnell is the first Labour Treasury chief in a generation to recognise that, in a period of acute stagnation or financial collapse, fiscal and monetary policy become fused.

If you cut rates to zero and have to print money there is a clear fiscal upside: the government can borrow at rates close to zero, or even negative interest rates. It gets a windfall if as at present the Bank of England passes interest on the bonds it holds straight back to the Treasury.
Original post by xxvine
Wait are you a tory or labour supporter?


Im a tory hater, not necessarily a labour supporter.

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Original post by Bornblue
Im a tory hater, not necessarily a labour supporter.

Posted from TSR Mobile


Oh thought you were a Tory from your screen name but then when I started reading your posts I realised that you didn't come across as a Tory supporter haha

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